The article argues UPS (NYSE: UPS) could miss earnings estimates in the third quarter and for 2026, even though its stock yields around 7%. It cites three risks: elevated fuel costs that could pressure margins, possible competition from Amazon that could hurt volume or pricing, and weak global e-commerce trends. In the first half of 2026, UPS raised fuel surcharges by a combined $1.173 billion, versus a $744 million increase in fuel and third-party fuel costs, a net difference of $429 million. E-commerce demand fell 7% year over year in May 2026, its sixth straight monthly decline. With Wall Street expecting 2026 EPS of $7.20 against a dividend per share of $6.56, the author suggests the dividend could come under threat and that waiting for the earnings report may make sense before considering a purchase.
Summary written by Upside AI from the original article. Read the source for full details.
Read the original on Yahoo Finance ↗
Related news
- TFC Q3 Earnings Miss Estimates as Securities Losses, Higher Costs Hurt
- Top Midday Stories: JPMorgan Shares Rise Despite Q3 Miss; J&J EPS Guidance Undershoots Estimates, Shares Fall
- Bank of America CEO : The good news is that the US consumer is still spending strongly – The Irish Times
The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds has risen by more than a third since late February, reaching 5.36%, its highest in 24 years, largely due to debate over Federal Reserve rate policy. Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan said his economists expect three more Fed rate increases before inflation eases in 2028, yet he argued that US consumers are still spending strongly. Bank of America shares fell into bear-market territory after a 17% drop in third-quarter profit and a $1.2 billion fine over failures to detect potential money laundering. The IMF forecasts US GDP growth of 2.3% both this year and next, with consumers, who account for two-thirds of the economy, expected to spend about $22 trillion this year.
- ASML Raises Sales Forecast For A Third Time, But Q3 Revenue Miss Sends Stock Lower: Earnings Selloff Spreads To MU, SNDK, INTC
ASML raised its annual revenue forecast for a third time this year, but third-quarter sales missed Wall Street expectations and its shares fell 3% in overnight trading. Net revenue rose 55% to 11.66 billion euros ($13.07 billion), just below the $13.12 billion analyst estimate from Koyfin, while net profit reached 4.96 billion euros and earnings per share beat expectations. The company now expects annual sales of 44 billion to 45 billion euros, raised from prior guidance of 43 billion to 45 billion euros, with gross margin of roughly 56%. CEO Christophe Fouquet said customers keep raising demand forecasts on AI-related investment, some are already interested in placing orders for 2029 and 2030, and ASML is exploring ways to lift 2028 capacity beyond the previously communicated 30% expansion.
- Singapore third-quarter GDP growth softens from four-year high but beats estimates
Singapore's GDP grew 5.4% in the third quarter of 2026, slowing from a four-year high in the previous quarter but beating the 5% growth expected by economists polled by Reuters. A decline in manufacturing, which accounts for about 20% of GDP, was offset by expansion in construction. Singapore raised its 2026 growth forecast to 4.5%–5.5%, its second upgrade, driven by AI-related sectors and exports; the earlier forecasts were 2%–4% and, at the start of the year, 1%–3%. The Monetary Authority of Singapore held policy steady after two rounds of tightening in April and July, citing inflation risks from higher energy prices. It expects inflation to stay high in the near term before easing from mid-2027.
- Jamie Dimon Says U.S. Economy Remains Strong, But Warns Of Risks ‘Shifting Under The Surface’ — JPM Stock Gains Despite Q3 Earnings Miss
Related markets
Latest news
- JPMorgan Chase is Delving Further Into National Security With $5 Billion Push
JPMorgan Chase has invested more than $5 billion in companies supporting U.S. national security and industrial capacity, roughly half its planned decade-long budget in the program's first year. Co-President Doug Petno told CNBC the pace could lead the bank to expand its original $10 billion commitment. Two known recipients are Hadrian, where JPMorgan helped lead a $1.4 billion round, and Castelion, where it joined a round of about $1 billion; those figures are total round sizes, not JPMorgan's own contributions. The bank also says it has financed and facilitated more than $230 billion for industries covered by the initiative, a figure separate from its direct investments.
- Eric Schmidt’s 1% Anthropic stake sets up massive windfall ahead of IPO -Bloomberg
Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt holds about 1% of Anthropic after investing tens of millions of dollars in its Series A round, and is poised to reap one of the largest individual windfalls from the AI startup's upcoming IPO. According to PitchBook data cited by Bloomberg, Anthropic was valued at $461 million when Schmidt invested in 2021, while prospective public valuations of $1.8 trillion to $2 trillion would be more than 4,300 times that Series A baseline. At the upper end of that range, his stake could lift his net worth by roughly one-third to nearly $80 billion. Anthropic is expected to begin formal marketing for its IPO as early as the week of Nov. 9, and aims to match or surpass SpaceX's record $1.77 trillion IPO completed in June.
- Bank of America Has Cut Its Share Count by Nearly a Third in 10 Years. $10,000 Invested Then Is Worth About $40,000 Now.
Bank of America, with $3.4 trillion in total assets, is the second-largest U.S. financial services institution; it bought back $6 billion of stock in the third quarter and $19.2 billion so far in 2026. Its outstanding share count has fallen 32% over 10 years, contributing to a 122% rise in diluted EPS. A total return of 304% through Oct. 16 would have turned $10,000 into about $40,400, below the $42,800 that the overall stock market's 328% total return would have produced. The article notes the shares trade 19% below their peak, at a P/E of 12.5 versus a 10-year average of 13.1.
- Coeur Mining (CDE) Stock Looks Undervalued Despite Recent Market Pressure
Coeur Mining has posted a very large gain over three years, but its share price has pulled back sharply in recent months while gold and silver prices have been relatively steady. The article attributes the pressure to rising treasury yields and a planned merger that may reshape production and cost profiles. It states the shares, around US$15.33, trade on a P/E of 18.5x, close to the metals and mining industry average of 18.6x and the peer group's 19.9x, and that the Fair Ratio points to the current multiple as undervalued. The piece also outlines scenarios for the company's growth, margins and earnings that readers can compare with the current price.
- Did Foundry Win Just Shift Intel (INTC) Investment Narrative?
Intel disclosed details of its GPU D-series for high-memory AI inference and Xeon-based racks for agentic AI workloads, and confirmed Tesla as a future 14A foundry customer, alongside deeper software distribution ties with Anaconda. The article argues the Tesla deal links Intel's heavy fab and packaging spending to concrete, workload-specific demand. Analyst consensus expects revenue to grow 16.5% a year over the next three years, with profit margin rising from -19.8% today to 24.2%, and earnings from a loss of US$11.3b to US$21.8b by 2029, though estimates range from US$8.8b to US$38.1b. The analyst target of US$116.37 sits close to the current price of about US$115.93. The piece stresses execution risk, as Intel Foundry is still loss-making and breakeven has been pushed out.
- Trump faces bipartisan backlash over waiving Russia sanctions
President Trump drew bipartisan criticism after waiving new Russia sanctions two days before they were due to take effect, through an executive order issued on Friday. The Graham Act, signed on Sept. 18, lets him waive the restrictions if he certifies to Congress that doing so serves US national interests. The waiver came a week after he eased sanctions on Russia's energy sector and announced a deal to import diesel: 300,000 tons, about 2.2 million barrels, against US daily use of 4.1 million barrels. Republican senators Thom Tillis and John Cornyn, Representative Don Bacon, and Democrat Gregory Meeks called the move irresponsible or a boost for Putin. Experts say the diesel deal will not offset oil supply disruptions from the Iran war.
Get the briefing on Telegram or Zalo
Join the Upside Telegram channel or Zalo group for the Vietnam stocks and gold briefing at 8:00 and 19:00 (Vietnam time) on trading days, plus a weekly wrap on Saturday morning.