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AST SpaceMobile Sinks 9% as Piper Sandler Cuts to Neutral on SpaceX Direct-to-Cell Threat; Planet Labs Drops 4%, Rocket Lab Slips

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) fell 9% to $46.58 in morning trading after Piper Sandler downgraded the stock to Neutral from Overweight, citing less conviction in the pace of commercial satellite launches, as SpaceX's expanding direct-to-cell push could restrict launch access and pressure pricing. The stock is down 36% year to date and below its prior 52-week low of $47.57. Deutsche Bank took the opposite view in the previous session, upgrading to Buy from Hold and arguing the selloff exceeded the value of the company's spectrum position. Planet Labs (PL) and Rocket Lab (RKLB) also declined, down 4% and 2%. AST SpaceMobile has 13 BlueBird satellites in orbit, targets 45 by early 2027, and reports a contracted backlog of $1.3 billion.

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    Piper Sandler downgraded AST SpaceMobile to Neutral from Overweight and cut its price target to $54, citing lower confidence in the company's satellite launch pace over the next two years. The firm pointed to SpaceX's expanding direct-to-cell plans, warning SpaceX could limit launch availability for partners or pressure pricing through its own service. Clear Street reiterated a Buy rating and $115 target, arguing AST SpaceMobile remains roughly six months ahead of SpaceX in direct-to-cell. Three more BlueBird satellites arrived at Cape Canaveral ahead of a planned launch, but no firm date has been set. AST SpaceMobile shares fell 8% to $43.38, a steeper drop than Rocket Lab (down 2% to $62.77) and SpaceX (down 2% to $152.88).

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    AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) rose 1% on Monday before falling again on Tuesday, down about 9% intraday and nearly 26% over the past week. Deutsche Bank upgraded the stock to buy after it lost 65% of its market capitalization from May to October, arguing investors overreacted to launch delays; analyst Bryan Kraft says all but $10 of the share price is backed by the value of AST's cellphone spectrum. Kraft also expects SpaceX's satellite direct-to-cell network to push telecom companies toward partnering with AST. Piper Sandler downgraded the stock to neutral, noting that Ariane, Blue Origin and United Launch Alliance rockets are currently unavailable, which leaves AST dependent on SpaceX, now its primary competitor, to launch satellites. AST needs between 45 and 60 satellites to cover even select markets.

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