News · bursa.ro

Bolojan Fiscal Policy Had Serious Justifications : Higher Taxes Reduced the Deficit and the Risk of a Credit Downgrade , but Came at the Cost of Foreign Investment

The article argues that the Bolojan government's 2025 tax increases were justified, as Romania had the largest budget deficit in the EU at 7.9% of GDP in 2025 (down from 9.3% in 2024) and risked losing its lowest investment-grade rating. Higher taxes, including a VAT increase from 19% to 21% and a dividend tax rise from 10% to 16%, helped cut the deficit to 3.82% of GDP after nine months, while budget revenues rose 11.8%. However, the taxes also reduced corporate profits, consumption and foreign direct investment. The IMF forecasts a 0.5% economic contraction in 2026, and about 70,000 jobs were lost between May 2025 and June 2026. The article also notes that some of the additional revenue goes toward interest payments.

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