News · Yahoo Finance

‘How many canaries have we killed in the coal mine?’ — Wall Street debates if the latest AI bubble warnings are another head fake or the real thing

Since ChatGPT's launch in late 2022, Wall Street has repeatedly seen warning signs of an AI bubble, from Nvidia's market cap crossing the $2 trillion, $3 trillion, $4 trillion and $5 trillion milestones to hyperscalers' borrowing and capex and the DeepSeek shock, yet earnings kept rising and stocks kept hitting records. The current worry is whether trillions of dollars in AI spending will pay off, which has hit debt-laden firms like CoreWeave, sending its stock lower and its credit default swaps higher. Dan Greenhaus of Solus Alternative Asset Management argued that CoreWeave is not a canary signaling an imminent AI bust, noting the market has repeatedly shrugged off similar warnings. With the Iran war and oil prices pushing bond yields to their highest in more than 20 years and the Fed hiking again, AI firms that rely on bond issuance face closer scrutiny.

Summary written by Upside AI from the original article. Read the source for full details.

Read the original on Yahoo Finance ↗

Keywords

NVDAartificial intelligenceAI investmentcreditWall Street

Open a keyword to see other news on the same topic.

Related tickers and likely impact

NVDA

▼ Likely negative

Nvidia

Relevance: medium

MarketUS stocks
SectorInformation Technology
IndustrySemiconductors
Market cap$5.2T
Close on 10/16/2026214.14
Change that session-1.42%
NVDA price, forecasts and signals →

Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.

Related news

  • Wall Street's AI Boom Just Reached a Dangerous Milestone. History Says the Winners Could Change.

    Wall Street has spent recent years rewarding nearly every company tied to AI, including hyperscalers, chipmakers, memory providers, cloud firms and equipment makers. A Columbia University estimate puts cumulative AI infrastructure investment and spending at about $9 trillion over 2025–2032, and says the sector would need more than $3.5 trillion in annual revenue by 2032 just to break even. The article argues that, as with the late-1990s telecom fiber build-out and 19th-century railroads, the biggest winners may be the businesses that use the infrastructure rather than those that build it, since builders often face overcapacity and weak returns. It points to industrial companies using AI for tasks such as predictive maintenance and logistics as potential beneficiaries, and presents the Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI) as a complementary holding with a small allocation.

    Yahoo Finance·▼ NVDAAI investmentartificial intelligenceNVDA
  • AI debt concerns drive default insurance costs to record highslondonmercury.com·▼ NVDA▼ AMZN▼ GOOGL▼ METAcreditAI investmentartificial intelligence
  • AI debt concerns drive default insurance costs to record highsnewjerseytelegraph.com·▼ NVDA▼ AMZN▼ GOOGL▼ METAcreditAI investmentartificial intelligence
  • 'Just another scare': Wall Street sees the AI trade strong despite tech's latest rout

    Technology stocks fell this week as financing concerns mounted, pulling the S&P 500 and Nasdaq into negative territory. CoreWeave (CRWV) and Nebius (NBIS) each closed the week down more than 25%, and Baird's Ted Mortonson placed Oracle (ORCL) near the bottom of tech on free cash flow, citing a higher cost of capital and scrutiny of circular finance. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang voiced optimism about CoreWeave, in which Nvidia holds roughly a 10% stake. Patrick Moorhead (Moor Insights & Strategy) called the sell-off another scare, while Dan Ives (Wedbush Securities) pointed to CoreWeave's revenue backlog of roughly $104 billion at the end of the second quarter. UBS described the volatility as a recalibration of expectations rather than a fundamental break, urging investors to watch whether AI spending turns into sustainable earnings growth.

    Yahoo Finance·▲ NVDAAI investmenttech stocksWall Street
  • Wall Street Bets Big on AI at Six - Year Highs as Nearly Half of Fund Managers Predict a 2027 Crash

    Bank of America's October 2026 fund manager survey shows the share of managers overweight technology rising to 37% from 30%, the highest since August 2020, even as about 45% expect an AI bubble by 2027. Ray Dalio has called the boom a “classic bubble” nearing its breaking point. Morgan Stanley projects AI-linked global bond issuance to approach $570 billion in 2026, nearly double last year's full-year pace, as Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft and Meta, which are projected to spend $700 billion on AI infrastructure, increasingly turn to debt markets. Hyperscaler capital expenditure is expected to pass $1 trillion by 2027, while U.S. federal debt crossed $40 trillion on August 19, 2026. The article frames the earnings reports from Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, Amazon and Apple during the week of October 26–30 as a test of whether debt-financed AI is generating real commercial returns.

    latintimes.com·• NVDAAI investmentNVDAbonds
  • AI Stocks Face Earnings Gut Check As Spending Jitters MountYahoo Finance·▼ NVDA▼ QQQ▼ AMZN▼ GOOGLNVDAartificial intelligenceearnings

Related markets

US stocks →

Latest news

  • Intel stock pops after JPMorgan gives a Neutral upgrade

    JPMorgan (JPM) upgraded Intel (INTC) to Neutral from Underweight. The note points to improving execution under CEO Lip-Bu Tan, potential foundry customers for next-generation manufacturing, and rising earnings estimates for 2027 and 2028.

    Yahoo Finance·
  • Intel leads chip stocks higher as investors jump back into AI trade

    Chip stocks rebounded on Monday as investors bought the dip after last week's steep AI trade sell-off. The PHLX Semiconductor Index (^SOX) rose 2%, reversing a recent semiconductor rout. Intel (INTC) jumped 5% after JPMorgan upgraded the stock to Buy, citing "solid execution." Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD (AMD) also gained, while a Goldman Sachs upgrade of CoreWeave (CRWV) to Buy from Neutral helped lift AI sentiment. Arm Holdings (ARM), Micron Technology (MU) and SK Hynix (SKHY) also rebounded after sharp declines last week.

    Yahoo Finance·▲ NVDA▲ QQQ▲ SPY
  • Netflix stock is down roughly 25% in 2026 as Q3 earnings loom

    Netflix (NFLX) reports third-quarter results after the bell on Tuesday, with the stock down more than 25% this year and closing Friday near $70, versus $93.76 at the end of 2025. Investors are worried about slowing viewership, competition from YouTube, and live sports moving to Amazon Prime Video and HBO Max. Last week Netflix cut about 6% of its workforce (roughly 1,000 employees) and named Peter Rice its new chief content officer, and five firms lowered price targets in October. Analysts expect EPS of $0.82 on revenue of $12.88 billion, up about 12% from a year earlier, in line with Netflix's own forecast. KeyBanc's Justin Patterson wants more content investment, product changes, expense cuts and a possible first-ever dividend.

    Yahoo Finance·
  • Cleveland-Cliffs Jumps 10% on Strongest Quarter in Three Years; Nucor and Steel Dynamics Edge Higher

    Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) rose 10% to $13.29 after reporting third-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $612 million, beating its $575 million guidance and up sharply from $143 million a year earlier. Revenue of $5.61 billion missed the $5.72 billion expected, though sales rose 18.6% year over year on a higher average net selling price of $1,177 per ton and larger shipments. Management said imports remain well below historical levels, but it indefinitely idled the galvanizing lines at its Canadian unit Stelco due to oversupply. The company guided to about $715 million of adjusted EBITDA in Q4 and said 2027 adjusted EBITDA should exceed $4 billion based on current index price forecasts. Its target is to bring net debt to EBITDA below 2.5x by mid-2027.

    Yahoo Finance·
  • Tech rebounds as semiconductor stocks jump: AlphaCheck

    Stocks were mostly higher on Monday as investors turned their focus to earnings season, with semiconductor stocks rebounding after last week's sharp sell-off. The Tech sector (XLK) rose, led by Nvidia (NVDA), AMD (AMD), Micron (MU) and SK Hynix (SKHY). Intel (INTC) also jumped after JPMorgan analysts upgraded the stock, while CoreWeave (CRWV), hammered last week, rebounded on a Goldman Sachs upgrade. Investors are watching this week's reports from Netflix (NFLX), SpaceX (SPCX), Tesla (TSLA) and Meta (META). The 10-year Treasury (^TNX) yield hovered near 5.1%, while Brent crude (BZ=F) dropped to $108 per barrel and WTI (CL=F) hovered below $98.

    Yahoo Finance·▲ NVDA▲ QQQ▲ SPY
  • AI capex may be Meta's biggest earnings test

    Meta Platforms (META) reports third-quarter earnings after the close on Wednesday, alongside a wave of Big Tech peers. The GAAP EPS estimate is $3.54, though that figure may be messy because a legal settlement will be included and analysts differ on how it will be accounted for. Options imply a 3.2% move in either direction, the smallest since the fourth-quarter report before last. Estimates for next year's capex vary widely: Wedbush near $250 billion, Evercore ISI $210 billion, Bank of America $205 billion and Dan Ives around $194 billion. Most analysts say that spending is acceptable if Meta provides a Muse roadmap and confidence it can monetize it, and the stock is up about seven and a half percent year to date.

    Yahoo Finance·• META▲ NVDA

All news →

Get the briefing on Telegram or Zalo

Join the Upside Telegram channel or Zalo group for the Vietnam stocks and gold briefing at 8:00 and 19:00 (Vietnam time) on trading days, plus a weekly wrap on Saturday morning.