Intel reports third-quarter results after the close on Oct. 29, and its stock has moved an average of about 16% in the session after its last three reports: down 17% after January, up 24% after April, and down 8% after July. The company beat its own forecasts each time, yet shares fell twice because management's outlook for the coming months carried more weight. The third-quarter revenue midpoint of $16.3 billion is only about 1% above the second quarter, a sharp slowdown, so the fourth-quarter forecast is seen as the key number to watch. At around 44 times expected 2027 earnings, the author argues the share price already reflects a return to growth, and says he would not buy the stock before the report.
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