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Nigeria Inflation Rate Tested as September Data Looms

Nigeria's headline inflation eased to 15.39% year-on-year in August 2026 from 15.43% in July, according to the National Bureau of Statistics, while food inflation fell to 19.57% from 20.31%. Because the NBS rebased its consumer price index, the lower rate may partly reflect the new basket and base effects rather than genuine price relief. Food and fuel remain the main pressure points, with petrol subsidy removal raising transport costs and a weaker naira raising the cost of imported inputs. The Central Bank of Nigeria, led by Governor Olayemi Cardoso, cut its policy rate to 23% in September 2026, while the market forecast September inflation at 15.5%. For US investors in Nigerian bonds and Eurobonds, the article says whether the rate cut holds, along with currency and inflation risks, will determine dollar returns.

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