News · businesstoday.in

RBI broadens Rupee defence beyond dollar sales , turns to tighter monetary conditions : Report

According to a source cited by Reuters, the RBI is in calibrated tightening mode across the board and will keep assessing further steps, including liquidity measures. It could discuss a 50-basis-point rate hike at its December review if inflation warrants front-loading, a possibility HSBC and State Bank of India have also flagged. Since March, the RBI has mobilised about $150 billion through inflow-attracting measures, while continued dollar sales have drawn down reserves and the cost of betting against the rupee has hit a five-year high. Domestic bond yields have risen 45 to 60 basis points since early September, and overseas investors have sold nearly $33 billion of Indian equities this year. Analysts warn that rapid tightening could slow growth, as nearly 60% of loans are linked to external benchmarks such as the policy rate and would reprice quickly.

Summary written by Upside AI from the original article. Read the source for full details.

Read the original on businesstoday.in ↗

Related news

  • $60 billion in 6 weeks : RBI rupee defence comes at a costeconomictimes.indiatimes.com·
  • RBI rupee defence comes at a cost as liquidity dries up , yields risebusiness-standard.com·
  • Rupee opens 9 paise higher at 94 . 87 against dollar , RBI intervention offsets crude pressuremoneycontrol.com·
  • Rupee gains 20 paise against US dollar as RBI support kicks in , greenback weakens

    The rupee opened Friday 20 paise higher at 94.79 per US dollar, extending Thursday's 18-paise gain, as the dollar weakened and the Reserve Bank of India's structural forex interventions provided support. Gains were limited by elevated crude prices, with Brent trading at $105.35 a barrel, and a negative start on Dalal Street, though the Sensex later turned positive and gained 400 points. The dollar index fell 0.54% to 102 and US Treasury yields eased. Foreign institutional investors were net sellers of domestic equities worth Rs 5,285.37 crore on Thursday.

    timesofindia.indiatimes.com·▼ DXY
  • India's rupee forecast to weaken toward 100-per-dollar level even as RBI pushes back

    The rupee has recovered from 96.79 per dollar to around the 95 level after the Reserve Bank of India's latest measures, which make speculative bets costlier and restrict rebooking of cancelled FX derivatives. Strategists still expect the currency to weaken toward end-2026 and mid-2027, with S&P Global Market Intelligence forecasting about 97 per dollar by end-2026 and 98 by mid-2027, and a move to 100 cannot be ruled out. Since the FCNR-B scheme closed on Aug. 30, the rupee has fallen 1.9%, and RBI dollar sales have cut foreign reserves by $51 billion as of Oct. 2, according to Ambit Capital. Pressures include high oil prices from the Iran war, a wider current account deficit, and foreign investors selling $32.5 billion of Indian equities this year through Oct. 13. HDFC Securities says the RBI steps offer only short-to-medium-term stability, not long-term structural support.

    CNBC·
  • Andy Mukherjee : Rupee defence It shouldnt be left to unconventional measures while regular policy tools gather dust

    India's central bank has revived its 2013 playbook to defend the 100-rupees-to-the-dollar level, first pressing banks to raise $133 billion from the diaspora in under three months, then raising lenders' hedging costs and ordering oil importers to buy dollars directly from the RBI; the rupee has since strengthened to around 95 to the dollar. The columnist warns these fixes may be short-lived given Brent above $100 a barrel, inflation at a two-year high and surging US bond yields, and notes that reserves have fallen by $50 billion since early September against a negative dollar forward book of $200 billion. He argues the real fix is credibility: the RBI has been too accommodating to fiscal needs and slow on inflation, having cut borrowing costs by 125 basis points under Governor Sanjay Malhotra before a first 25 basis-point hike this month. Rather than a sharp 2013-style rate hike or more administrative controls, he suggests selling bonds to lift the whole yield curve and restore India's yield advantage over US Treasuries, whose 10-year spread has narrowed to about 200 basis points from 600 in 2013.

    livemint.com·

Related markets

Currencies →Gold →

Latest news

  • Earnings live updates: All eyes on Musk and Meta as Q3 earnings rev up

    Big tech is the focus of this week's earnings season, with Meta (META), SpaceX (SPCX) and Tesla (TSLA) due to report. SpaceX and Netflix (NFLX) kick off on Tuesday after the bell, while Tesla and Meta report on Wednesday, offering an early read on the Magnificent Seven and the AI trade. Wall Street estimates S&P 500 earnings growth of 29.6%, according to FactSet; if that holds, it would be the third straight quarter of growth above 25%. General Motors (GM), IBM (IBM), United Airlines (UAL) and Procter & Gamble (PG) also report this week.

    Yahoo Finance·• METAearningsMETAElon Musk
  • Mysterious UAV Enters Lithuania as NATO Fighters Fail to Intercept It

    On the morning of October 18, an unidentified drone entered Lithuanian airspace between 6:00 and 8:00, prompting an air alert and the scrambling of NATO jets, which escorted the object but could not shoot it down due to difficult weather. Debris later found in Juojonis village in Pasvalys district was initially identified as drone parts, and the military says it may have entered from Poland. Latvia issued a similar warning for several regions and cancelled it at 8:12, though its army has not confirmed the object was a drone. Prime Minister Mindaugas Sinkevičius said the sabotage hypothesis must be verified, while law enforcement works to determine the drone's origin; earlier, on September 15, Italian Eurofighter Typhoons shot down a drone that had flown into Lithuania from Belarus.

    CafeF·▲ XAU/USDgeopoliticsdefenseEurope
  • Corning Is Moving Beyond Fiber Cables. Can AI Networking Pay Off?

    Corning (GLW) is extending beyond fiber cables into optical components inside AI systems, having demonstrated optical connectivity with Lumentum and Astera Labs on October 12 and partnered with Nvidia on a planned tenfold expansion of optical connectivity capacity in the US. Its Optical Communications sales rose 32% year-over-year to $2.07 billion in Q2 2026, and management sees a potential $10 billion revenue opportunity by 2030 from a photonics platform, though timing and adoption remain uncertain. Still, the valuation is elevated, with a forward non-GAAP P/E of 44.81x, about 84% above its 5-year average of 24.31x, while analysts expect EPS to grow 30.41% in December 2026 and 33.02% in December 2027. The article notes that slower AI spending or delayed CPO adoption could pressure the stock.

    Yahoo Finance·Corningartificial intelligencevaluation
  • Google’s Next AI Chip Is Running Late. Why Marvell May Be Fine

    GF Securities says one part of Google's TPU v9 design slipped about three weeks, likely due to a redesign, pushing the timeline back roughly a quarter, with mass production now expected in Q2 2027. Packaging substrate yields of just 45% to 50% are a key obstacle, but GF sees no demand problem, citing strong TPU demand from Google and external customers such as Anthropic. The firm points to MediaTek, not Marvell (MRVL), as facing short-term headwinds, so any benefit to Marvell appears indirect. At 63x forward earnings, a 66% premium to its five-year average P/E of 38.02x, the article concludes the delay is not by itself a reason to buy.

    Yahoo Finance·▼ GOOGLGOOGLsemiconductorsartificial intelligence
  • Stocks bounce back, Anthropic's "Public Benefits", and Musk's promise to American kids

    The 8:30 show, hosted by Julie Hyman, Pras Subramanian and Jake Conley, discusses the stock market's rebound. Other topics include Anthropic's (ANTH.PVT) commitment to a “Public Benefit” fund, Elon Musk's promise to American children about SpaceX (SPCX) stock ahead of earnings, and doubts over an IPO after Microsoft (MSFT) withdrew.

    Yahoo Finance·▲ QQQ▲ SPYQQQSPYAnthropic
  • Microsoft vs. Alphabet: Is GOOGL’s Cloud Growth Worth More Than Investors Think?

    Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL) trade at forward P/E ratios of 25.13 and 22.83, respectively. Google Cloud revenue jumped 82% to $24.8 billion in the second quarter, with operating income rising from $2.8 billion to $8.8 billion, while Azure and other cloud services grew 43%. Both companies face heavy infrastructure spending: Microsoft spent $35.8 billion on property and equipment, pushing its cloud gross margin down to 65%, while Alphabet spent $44.9 billion, leaving roughly negative $5.85 billion in quarterly free cash flow. The article argues Alphabet's $9.11 EPS is unreliable because about $98 billion came from net other income, so its 30% operating-income growth better reflects underlying performance. Microsoft has a more diversified earnings base and higher consolidated operating margins, but the key question is whether either company can turn AI demand into cash after paying for infrastructure.

    Yahoo Finance·▲ GOOGLMSFTGOOGLcloud computing

All news →

Get the briefing on Telegram or Zalo

Join the Upside Telegram channel or Zalo group for the Vietnam stocks and gold briefing at 8:00 and 19:00 (Vietnam time) on trading days, plus a weekly wrap on Saturday morning.