Sandisk shares have surged 827% over the past year but dropped 44% from their June 22 52-week high, with fears over NAND flash demand, AI infrastructure spending and competition from China's CXMT. The author argues these fears are overblown, since CXMT doesn't make NAND flash and its DRAM technology reportedly trails Micron and SK Hynix. Enterprise SSD demand is booming on the back of the AI boom, with contract prices reportedly up 3x year over year, and McKinsey and IDC forecast annual growth of 35% and over 40% through 2030, respectively. Sandisk posted $20 billion in fiscal 2026 revenue with an 11% NAND market share, and its TAM is seen reaching $500 billion next year. The company targets mid-to-high teens annual revenue growth in fiscal 2028 to 2030 and a non-GAAP operating margin of 75% by fiscal 2030, versus 63% in fiscal 2026.
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