ASML Holding, whose lithography machines are essential for manufacturing advanced chips, posted solid earnings and says some customers want to place orders for 2029 and even 2030, according to CEO Christophe Fouquet. The company has a market cap of more than $630 billion and its growth rate exceeded 55% last quarter. Its P/E multiple of 40 and forward P/E of 29 both sit above the S&P 500 average of a little over 19, so the article argues a premium is already priced in. Even so, the article suggests ASML's dominant position and demand visibility may justify an even higher valuation.
Summary written by Upside AI from the original article. Read the source for full details.
Read the original on Yahoo Finance ↗
Keywords
ASMLsemiconductorsvaluationartificial intelligence
Open a keyword to see other news on the same topic.
Related tickers and likely impact
NVDA
▲ Likely positiveNvidia
Relevance: low
| Market | US stocks |
|---|---|
| Sector | Information Technology |
| Industry | Semiconductors |
| Market cap | $5.2T |
| Close on 10/16/2026 | 214.14 |
| Change that session | -1.42% |
Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.
Related news
- ASML is the Most Important Company in the AI Ecosystem, and It Just Delivered Record Results. Here's Where the Stock Will Be in 2028
ASML reported record third-quarter 2026 revenue of 11.7 billion euros, up 56% from a year earlier, with gross margin rising to 57.5% and earnings per share up 136% to 12.95 euros, and it raised full-year guidance. CEO Christophe Fouquet said customers do not expect supply to catch up with demand until 2028, even with plans to increase supply by 30% in 2027 and 2028. For the current quarter, guidance is 14.7 billion euros in revenue, a 51% rise, with a 57% gross margin. The article says the stock trades at 29 times forward earnings versus 20 for the S&P 500, with consensus expecting 67% earnings growth in 2026 against 32% for the index. Its scenario assumes 45% annual earnings growth in 2027 and 2028 and an unchanged 29x multiple, which would imply a price of $2,827 in 2028, or 72% upside.
- ASML is the Most Important Company in the AI Ecosystem , and It Just Delivered Record Results . Here Where the Stock Will Be in 2028
ASML reported record third-quarter results on October 14 and raised its full-year guidance. Revenue reached 11.7 billion euros, up 56% year over year, with gross margin rising to 57.5% and earnings per share jumping 136% to 12.95 euros. CEO Christophe Fouquet said supply is not expected to catch up with demand until at least 2028, and guidance calls for 14.7 billion euros in revenue next quarter, up 51%. The stock trades at 29 times forward earnings, a premium to the S&P 500's 20, which the author says is justified by expected growth. Assuming 45% annual earnings growth in 2027 and 2028, the author projects EPS of 97.49 USD and a stock price of 2,827 USD by 2028, implying 72% upside.
- ASML (ASML) Says It Cannot Meet Demand Until 2028. Is the Stock Priced for That?
ASML, the only supplier of the machines that print the most advanced chip patterns, reported third-quarter net sales of 11.7 billion euros and net income of 5.0 billion euros on October 14. The bigger news is that the company does not expect to build enough machines to meet customer demand in 2027 or 2028. It is looking at ways to add capacity beyond the 30% increase it had already promised, and some customers are interested in orders for 2029 and 2030. Because ASML stopped publishing quarterly orders this year, that demand is closer to a statement of intent than a contract, and customer delays and government export rules are risks the company cannot control. The article argues the shortage, rather than the monopoly, better justifies the valuation, with shares at 28.90 times next year's expected earnings versus 59.89 times over the past year.
- ASML is the Most Important Company in the AI Ecosystem, and It Just Delivered Record Results. Here’s Where the Stock Will Be in 2028
ASML reported record third-quarter 2026 revenue of €11.7 billion, up 56% year over year, with gross margin rising to 57.5% and EPS jumping 136% to €12.95, and it raised its full-year guidance. As the sole maker of EUV lithography machines for advanced chips, it benefits from AI data center demand, and customers do not expect supply to catch up with demand until at least 2028. The company forecasts about €14.7 billion in revenue for the current quarter, up 51%. The stock trades at 29 times forward earnings versus 20 times for the S&P 500, a premium the article argues is justified by expected 2026 earnings growth of 67%. The article also outlines a scenario in which earnings grow 45% a year in 2027 and 2028 and the multiple holds at 29x, implying a share price near $2,827 by 2028.
- Prediction: $1,000 Invested in Taiwan Semiconductor Today Will Be Worth This Much by 2030
The article argues that TSMC, the world's largest contract chipmaker with over 70% of the global foundry market, benefits from the AI boom because it manufactures chips for most leading designers. In the third quarter it beat profit and revenue estimates and guided fourth-quarter revenue to $52.3–54.3 billion, a 58% year-over-year increase at the midpoint, while gross margin is expected to dip slightly to 66% due to 2 nm ramp-up and U.S. fab costs. The stock has risen more than 300% over three years to about $422, trading at 27 times trailing earnings. Assuming EPS grows 30% a year, the author projects the shares could reach $1,000 by 2030, and that $1,000 invested today could grow to $2,350 by then if earnings growth continues.
- Semiconductor Sell-Off: 5 Stocks to Buy on the Dip
The article attributes the semiconductor selloff to investor doubts about the durability of AI infrastructure spending, even as cloud companies report strong demand for AI chips. It highlights five stocks: Nvidia (forward P/E just above 13.5 on fiscal 2028 estimates), Broadcom (custom AI chips, with that revenue expected to quadruple to $230 billion over two years; forward P/E of 11), AMD (riding inference and agentic AI demand), Cerebras Systems (high risk-reward; the company claims 30 times the inference speed of GPUs) and TSMC (forward P/E of 18 on 2027 estimates).
Related markets
Latest news
- JPMorgan Backs Two Defense Startups With $5 Billion
JPMorgan has already committed half of its $10 billion investment pool to hypersonic-missile maker Castelion and defense manufacturer Hadrian. The bet reflects America's push to rebuild its defense industrial base.
- X-Energy, Amazon, AEP Partner To Evaluate Feasibility Of 960 MW Nuclear Project In Indiana – A Look At The Key Highlights
X-energy and American Electric Power (AEP) announced a joint development agreement to evaluate the feasibility of a proposed 960-megawatt small modular reactor project in Indiana, with Amazon supporting development through a milestone-based funding agreement. The plant would feature 12 Xe-100 units near the former Breed Generating Station in Sullivan County, redeveloping an AEP-owned brownfield site. It is the second commercial project under the X-energy and Amazon collaboration, which aims to bring more than 5 gigawatts of new nuclear capacity to the U.S. grid by 2039. At the time of writing, XE was up 2%, AMZN gained 3.75%, and AEP fell 1.13%.
- Waymo Will Be “a Trillion Dollar Business. Easy” per VC Investor
Bessemer Venture Partners' Sameer Dholakia says Waymo could become a trillion-dollar business by expanding from ride-hailing into personal car ownership, trucking and logistics. The article notes Bessemer invested in Waymo's $16 billion February round, which valued the company at $126 billion. Waymo reached 500,000 paid rides a week in March, but Sacra estimates its annualized revenue at only $355 million in February, under 0.1% of Alphabet's $403 billion in 2025 revenue. Alphabet trades at 25.0x forward earnings, within its usual range, while Uber trades at 18.2x, a level analyst Walter Piecyk links to the threat from Waymo and Tesla's Robotaxi.
- Jensen Huang Declares NVIDIA Can Win “in the Absence of Any AI Labs”
NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang said on the BG2 podcast that about a third of the business, classical computing unrelated to AI labs, is growing 30% to 40% a year, while frontier labs account for roughly 25% to 30% of compute. In the three months to July 26, 2026, revenue rose 106% to $96.2 billion, with AI clouds, industrial and enterprise revenue up 138%. Steve Eisman cited a 10-Q line showing 70% of NVIDIA's accounts receivable comes from five customers, though the article notes receivables are not the same as revenue share. NVIDIA trades at 17.7x forward earnings, near its three-year low of 17.5x and well below its 30.3x average.
- AWS Margin Expansion and Retail Execution Power Amazon (AMZN) in Q3
Wedgewood Partners reported that its Wedgewood Composite returned 2.5% net in the third quarter of 2026, compared with 2.3% for the S&P 500 and 0.9% for the Russell 1000 Growth. In its investor letter, the firm named Amazon a leading contributor, citing AWS revenue growth accelerating to 37% from 17% a year earlier and a 63% rise in the segment's operating income. AWS backlog of around $500 billion is more than double last year's level and up 37% from 90 days earlier, and Wedgewood said this demand supports a plan to double AWS capacity from circa 2025 levels by 2027. Advertising grew 26% and generated over $75 billion in revenue over the past 12 months. As of October 16, 2026, Amazon closed at $250.00, with a market capitalization of $2.7 trillion and a 21.22% gain over the past year.
- Bitcoin is rejected at $83K as US bond yields reverse higher with equities
Bitcoin failed to follow rising equities as a wall of sell orders above $83,000 across exchanges capped gains, and BTC slipped below $82,000 after Monday's Wall Street open. The Nasdaq Composite gained 1.5% and South Korea's KOSPI rose 1.76% to 5,768 points, while the US 10-year yield climbed to 5.13% and the 30-year to 5.46%, moving in step with stocks ahead of major tech earnings from Meta, SpaceX and Tesla. QCP Capital warned that a repeat of last week's tech sell-off could threaten the $80,000 support level. Crypto liquidations totaled $335 million over 24 hours, and the Binance whale ratio fell to 0.45 from 0.54 at the start of October.
Get the briefing on Telegram or Zalo
Join the Upside Telegram channel or Zalo group for the Vietnam stocks and gold briefing at 8:00 and 19:00 (Vietnam time) on trading days, plus a weekly wrap on Saturday morning.