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What Is the Worth of Rare Earth?

This episode of The Motley Fool's Rule Breaker Investing, recorded Sept. 23, 2026, features host David Gardner with analysts Mac Greer and Yasser El-Shimy playing the Market Cap Game Show for the 43rd time. The show covers 10 stocks spanning cloud software, credit cards, Norwegian energy, sleep apnea, community banking, rare-earth minerals, biotech real estate and 78,000 miles of pipelines. Players estimate a range for each stock's market cap, while listeners say whether they agree or disagree. The new King-Sharon rule lets players bet a half point on whether a stock falls above or below their opponent's range.

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    USA Rare Earth (USAR) rose 4% to $10.77 as a month-long selloff in domestic rare earth stocks paused, though the shares are still down 31% over the past month. United States Antimony (UAMY) slipped 0.9% to $2.76, MP Materials (MP) gained 2% to $40.82, and the VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF (REMX) fell 0.9% to $55.26, while the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) rose 0.1% to $770.43. The article notes USA Rare Earth is building capacity to process rare earths and produce magnets, so its value depends on plants that have not yet started production. Its government-backed funding is released in stages tied to construction and production milestones, making project progress central to the stock.

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  • Critical Metals Rises 4% on Trump’s Greenland Mineral Exploration Plan; USA Rare Earth Declines 3%, MP Materials Slips 2%

    Critical Metals (CRML) rose 4% to $6.80 in morning trading after President Donald Trump said large-scale oil, gas and mineral exploration is preparing to begin in Greenland, though he named no projects, operators or timetable. It is the only one of three closely followed U.S.-listed rare earth stocks with a project on the island, the Tanbreez project in southern Greenland, which the company says contains 19 critical elements and holds the only rare-earth exploitation permit there. Peers fell, with MP Materials down 2% to $41.71, USA Rare Earth down 3% to $10.95, and the VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF (REMX) down 1% to $56.96. The article notes Critical Metals is a development-stage company with no operating revenue and substantial going-concern doubt, and that the gain rests on a broad policy signal until a formal program names Tanbreez.

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    Rare earth stocks sold off as a group: USA Rare Earth (USAR) fell 6% to $11.86 and is down 30% over the past month, while MP Materials dropped 6% to $43.45 and Critical Metals (CRML) held near $6.82 with a 0.5% dip. The VanEck Rare Earth ETF (REMX) fell 5%, while the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) was down only 0.1%, suggesting the selling is concentrated in the sector. USA Rare Earth has not announced any news explaining the move. Its government reimbursement is milestone-based and paid only after targets are met, with a first distribution application expected in the coming months. In Q2 2026, the company reported revenue of about $6 million against $66 million in capital expenditures and roughly $1.5 billion in cash, with its main Round Top project targeting commercial operations in late 2028.

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