Crypto
BTC/USDT daily price by UTC day, closing at 00:00 UTC every day including weekends.
All time: since 08/17/2017, the first session in Upside data.
| Previous close | 81,850.00 |
|---|---|
| 52-week range | |
| Average daily range (ATR 20) | 2.61% |
| Annualised volatility (1 year) | 44.1% |
| All-time high | 126,199.63 · 10/06/2025 |
| All-time low | 2,817.00 · 09/15/2017 |
| Data since | 08/17/2017 |
Data: Binance public market data. Daily candles close at 00:00 UTC.
Common indicators on daily candles after the latest session, summarised the usual way: oscillators in oversold territory read bullish, overbought read bearish; a price above a moving average reads bullish.
| Indicator | Value | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 47.16 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K (14, 3, 3) | 36.28 | Neutral |
| CCI (20) | -117.40 | Bullish |
| Williams %R (14) | -78.66 | Neutral |
| Momentum (10) | -2,668.01 | Bearish |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 713.19 | Bearish |
| ADX (14), trend strength | 31.80 | Neutral |
| Indicator | Value | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Simple moving average (10) | 83,892.37 | Bearish |
| Exponential moving average (10) | 83,344.85 | Bearish |
| Simple moving average (20) | 84,046.10 | Bearish |
| Exponential moving average (20) | 83,159.02 | Bearish |
| Simple moving average (50) | 81,046.73 | Bullish |
| Exponential moving average (50) | 80,123.21 | Bullish |
| Simple moving average (100) | 73,125.21 | Bullish |
| Exponential moving average (100) | 76,368.57 | Bullish |
| Simple moving average (200) | 72,082.84 | Bullish |
| Exponential moving average (200) | 75,529.63 | Bullish |
Change from one month-end close to the next over the last five years. The current month runs to the latest session.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -10.2% | -14.9% | +2.0% | +11.8% | -3.5% | -20.4% | +7.3% | +25.0% | +6.4% | -2.1% | ||
| 2025 | +9.5% | -17.7% | -2.1% | +14.1% | +11.1% | +2.4% | +8.0% | -6.5% | +5.4% | -3.9% | -17.6% | -3.0% |
| 2024 | +0.7% | +43.6% | +16.6% | -14.9% | +11.3% | -7.1% | +3.0% | -8.7% | +7.4% | +11.0% | +37.2% | -2.9% |
| 2023 | +2.7% | -6.9% | +12.0% | -4.1% | -11.3% | +3.9% | +28.5% | +8.9% | +12.1% | |||
| Average | 0.0% | +3.7% | +5.5% | +3.4% | +3.0% | -3.3% | +3.6% | -0.4% | +5.8% | +8.4% | +9.5% | +2.0% |
| Months up | 67% | 33% | 67% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 75% | 25% | 100% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
Bitcoin climbed back above $83,000 on Tuesday after dipping to just under $81,000 early in the day, decoupling from a sell-off in Asian chip stocks and U.S. tech futures. South Korea’s KOSPI fell more than 6% intraday to below 6,000, led by Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, which each dropped roughly 8%, amid concerns over AI valuations and Chinese memory-chip competition. Nasdaq futures fell 0.6%, while WTI crude held near $92.67 and Brent around $106 on Middle East supply risks, which the article says raises inflation concerns and the prospect of Fed rate hikes, a headwind for crypto. The Dollar Index sat near 102.50, its highest since April last year. Traders are awaiting Thursday’s U.S. CPI report, and Paul Howard of Wincent expects institutions to hedge with derivatives rather than cut their crypto exposure.
South Korea has approved measures to block domestic access to 27 websites run by unregistered crypto exchanges and other virtual asset providers, including KuCoin, MEXC, Phemex and Bitrue. The Financial Intelligence Unit announced the decision on Tuesday, following reviews by the Korea Media and Communications Standards Commission on Oct. 6 and 7. The blocks target platforms not registered under the country's anti-money laundering law, by terminating domestically hosted services or blocking overseas-operated sites. The FIU acknowledged that existing users may have difficulty withdrawing assets and said it will provide withdrawal guidance through DAXA with operator cooperation. The move follows earlier restrictions on 14 apps on Apple's App Store and 17 on Google Play.
The Crypto Fear and Greed Index has dropped to its August lows seen before the rally.
Forecast after the 10/12/2026 session
FLAT · stand aside
| Expected return | +0.09% |
|---|---|
| Reference price | 81,850.00 |
| Valid until | 10/14/2026 |
| Signal from | Base rate |
Low confidence · Unchanged
LONG · expects a rise
| Expected return | +0.45% |
|---|---|
| Reference price | 81,850.00 |
| Stop loss | 74,795.78 |
| Take profit | 93,607.04 |
| Valid until | 10/18/2026 |
| Signal from | Base rate |
Medium confidence · Unchanged
LONG · expects a rise
| Expected return | +1.79% |
|---|---|
| Reference price | 81,850.00 |
| Stop loss | 67,741.56 |
| Take profit | 105,364.07 |
| Valid until | 11/02/2026 |
| Signal from | Base rate |
Medium confidence · Unchanged
LONG · expects a rise
| Expected return | +4.31% |
|---|---|
| Reference price | 81,850.00 |
| Stop loss | 57,413.46 |
| Take profit | 122,577.57 |
| Valid until | 12/12/2026 |
| Signal from | Base rate |
Medium confidence · Unchanged
Probability of a rise and of a fall from every strategy at the latest session. The signal follows only the strategy in use; the others are tracked to see whether any of them does better.
| Strategy | 1 session | 5 sessions | 20 sessions | 60 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base rateTrusted | ↑31% ↓28% | ↑35% ↓28% | ↑37% ↓28% | ↑43% ↓34% |
| Momentum | ↑34% ↓27% | ↑34% ↓27% | ↑33% ↓28% | ↑43% ↓35% |
| ADX trend strength | ↑31% ↓27% | ↑36% ↓31% | ↑44% ↓31% | ↑49% ↓28% |
| Bollinger Bands | ↑30% ↓29% | ↑33% ↓29% | – | – |
| Donchian channel | ↑33% ↓26% | ↑35% ↓27% | ↑33% ↓34% | ↑38% ↓35% |
| Rule ensemble | ↑28% ↓27% | ↑35% ↓27% | ↑35% ↓38% | ↑38% ↓40% |
| MACD | ↑32% ↓27% | ↑34% ↓28% | ↑26% ↓34% | ↑35% ↓33% |
| RSI | ↑27% ↓27% | ↑31% ↓27% | ↑38% ↓27% | ↑41% ↓41% |
| Moving-average trend | ↑33% ↓28% | ↑37% ↓28% | ↑40% ↓27% | ↑42% ↓30% |
| Machine learning (LightGBM) | ↑31% ↓34% | ↑35% ↓28% | ↑37% ↓28% | ↑43% ↓34% |
Brier skill against the base rate in the walk-forward backtest since 2020 (above 0 means more informative than the base rate), and live forecasts scored so far.
| Strategy | 1 session | 5 sessions | 20 sessions | 60 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base rate | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Machine learning (LightGBM) | +1.13% | -0.37% | -2.17% | -0.59% |
| MACD | -0.20% | +0.32% | -0.79% | -0.79% |
| RSI | +0.20% | -0.06% | -0.22% | -1.56% |
| Momentum | +0.03% | +0.04% | +0.16% | -2.66% |
| ADX trend strength | -0.16% | +0.12% | -0.09% | -1.73% |
| Bollinger Bands | -0.03% | +0.11% | – | – |
| Rule ensemble | -0.21% | -0.05% | +0.11% | -1.51% |
| Moving-average trend | -0.07% | -0.52% | -1.16% | -7.83% |
| Donchian channel | -0.08% | -0.29% | -1.55% | -3.60% |
| Live: scored / waiting | 2 / 1 | 0 / 3 | 0 / 3 | 0 / 3 |
| Session | Horizon | Strategy | Reference price | Result after costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2026 | 20 sessions | LONG New | 82,988.36 | Open |
| 10/10/2026 | 5 sessions | LONG New | 82,988.36 | Open |
| 10/10/2026 | 60 sessions | LONG New | 82,988.36 | Open |
BTC/USDT · Expects a rise · 20 sessions
Tín hiệu giữa các chiến lược trái chiều nhau, nên tôi giữ gần tỷ lệ nền và chỉ chuyển một phần nhỏ xác suất từ tăng sang giảm.
BTC/USDT · Expects a rise · 5 sessions
Đà ngắn hạn yếu được bù lại bởi sức mạnh xu hướng, nên dự báo chỉ lệch rất nhẹ khỏi tỷ lệ nền về phía giảm.
BTC/USDT · Expects a rise · 60 sessions
Xu hướng dài hạn vẫn dương, nhưng sau một đợt tăng mạnh thì rủi ro điều chỉnh cao hơn, nên tôi tăng nhẹ xác suất giảm so với tỷ lệ nền.
BTC/USDT · Expects a rise · 1 session
Phần lớn chiến lược khác có xác suất tăng thấp hơn tỷ lệ nền, nên tôi giảm nhẹ xác suất tăng và giữ đi ngang là kịch bản chính.
BTC/USDT closed at 81,850.00 in the 10/12/2026 session, -2.30% from the previous session.
In Upside data since 08/17/2017, the highest level of BTC/USDT was 126,199.63, in the 10/06/2025 session.
In Upside data since 08/17/2017, the lowest level of BTC/USDT was 2,817.00, in the 09/15/2017 session.
Over the last 252 sessions BTC/USDT changed +3.95%, trading between 57,800.19 and 87,395.67. A typical daily range is about 2.61% of the price.