According to the Tiger index compiled by the Brookings Institution and the Financial Times, economic activity in the US, China and India keeps growing despite oil prices topping US$100 a barrel at times, supported by AI investment, with India forecast to grow 7.1% in the current fiscal year. Germany is performing better than expected thanks to public spending on infrastructure and defence, while France is stagnating amid debt concerns and China still relies on foreign demand as household consumption recovers weakly. The warning sign is that government bond yields have surged: the US 10-year yield hit its highest since 2002, the UK's its highest since 2007, and many central banks have shifted from cutting to raising rates. The IMF will update its outlook this week, after its July forecast of at least 3% global GDP growth in both 2026 and 2027, down from 3.5% in 2025. Professor Eswar Prasad argues governments need labour, goods and financial market reforms to raise productivity.
Summary written by Upside AI from the original article. Read the source for full details.
Original headline: Xuất hiện "điềm báo đáng ngại" đối với nền kinh tế toàn cầu
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- Asian shares mostly decline after AI stocks lead a rebound on Wall Street
Asian shares mostly fell in cautious trading Tuesday after AI-related stocks rebounded on Wall Street, while other sectors stayed shaky and oil prices remained high. Japan's Nikkei 225 slipped 0.6% to 64,512.35, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 lost 0.8% to 8,772.10, and South Korea's Kospi dropped 2.8% to 5,605.31. On Wall Street, the S&P 500 rose 0.4% and the Nasdaq rallied 1.1%, helped by Nvidia, while the Dow fell 0.1%. The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 5.14%, and U.S. crude rose 0.15% to $103.50 a barrel as uncertainty over the war with Iran kept oil prices elevated.
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