News · fortune.com

ConnectOne Bank CEO : what Kevin Warsh quieter Fed can teach CEOs about communicating uncertainty

In this Fortune column, the ConnectOne Bank CEO argues that leaders often feel pressure to give answers they don't yet have, and that clarity, meaning explaining what you are watching, what would change your mind, and how you will respond, matters more than certainty. He points to Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's move away from detailed forward guidance toward sharing the Fed's framework and the facts as it sees them, rather than forecasting rate decisions. Drawing on ConnectOne's growth from a de novo community bank founded in 2005 to nearly $15 billion in assets, through the 2008 financial crisis, the pandemic and rate swings, he says leaders should explain how they will adapt rather than predict outcomes. He advises CEOs to give employees, clients and shareholders a clear picture of where the company stands without overloading them with every scenario. The key message is that leaders should keep moving and explain their response as conditions change, since certainty is rarely available.

Summary written by Upside AI from the original article. Read the source for full details.

Original headline: ConnectOne Bank CEO : what Kevin Warsh quieter Fed can teach CEOs about communicating uncertainty

Read the original on fortune.com ↗

Related news

  • Fed Chair Kevin Warsh warns of AI shock for economy , pledges to contain inflationkxel.com·▲ DXY▼ XAU/USD
  • Fed Chair Kevin Warsh warns of AI shock , pledges to contain inflation

    Fed Chair Kevin Warsh warned at an IMF conference in Bangkok that surging AI spending could act as a 'shock' to the U.S. economy by boosting demand before supply catches up, and pledged to contain price increases. He said the technology should eventually generate productivity and wealth, but the path there would be very bumpy, and he also flagged shocks from war and military conflict, including the Iran war that began in February and drove oil prices sharply higher. U.S. inflation rose 3.7% in September, a four-month high and more than a point above the Fed's 2% target, and the Fed raised rates a quarter point that month, its first increase since 2023. Warsh declined to forecast the Oct. 28 meeting, and CME FedWatch data showed investors put about 86% odds on rates being held steady, up from about 55% on Wednesday.

    aol.com·▲ DXY▼ QQQ• SPY• XAU/USD
  • Analysis: Everyone expects the Fed to hold rates in October. Kevin Warsh could surprise us all

    Traders overwhelmingly expect the Federal Reserve to hold rates at its October meeting, with futures pricing only a 15% chance of a hike. The author argues this complacency may be risky, since Chair Kevin Warsh has rejected the convention of signaling decisions in advance and has left room to hike, while recent remarks from Vice Chair Philip Jefferson and New York Fed President John Williams, who see little urgency to raise rates, may no longer reliably reflect his views. Inflation data is hot, with CPI up 3.7% and PPI up 6.3% year over year, implying core PCE around 3.1%, above the 2% target that Warsh has called a firm, fixed goal. Surprising markets with a hike would risk volatility, though the article notes that financial conditions remain loose overall.

    CNBC·• DXY
  • Here are the key things Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh said — and didn’t say — while Americans were sleeping Thursday night

    Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh had a chance on Thursday night to shape expectations ahead of the central bank's rate-setting meeting in two weeks, but, consistent with his practice of keeping markets guessing, he chose not to.

    MarketWatch·• DXY• QQQ• SPY• XAU/USD
  • AI most consequential change to US and global economies in my lifetime: Fed Chair Kevin Warsheconomictimes.indiatimes.com·
  • Will the Fed raise interest rates ? Kevin Warsh could offer clues

    Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh said the U.S. economy has broadly moved as the central bank expected at its September meeting, when it raised rates for the first time since 2023, but gave no clear hint on a hike in October or December. Consumer price inflation jumped to 3.7% in recent weeks, and investors are watching for signals before the Oct. 27 and 28 meeting, after which Fed officials enter a “blackout” period. Warsh said a massive AI investment surge, partly funded by borrowing, is a major force pushing prices up and will fundamentally change monetary policy. Vanguard expects data center, chip and cloud firms to raise between $300 billion and $570 billion from debt markets this year. Another hike would strain consumers and complicate President Donald Trump’s push for lower rates, as voters are already unhappy with his handling of the economy.

    nbcnews.com·▲ DXY▼ XAU/USD

Related markets

Currencies →Gold →

Latest news

  • Winning over Vingroup and Sun Group with concrete and special materials: Vietnamese company's profit up 136%, chairman speaks out

    Song Da Cao Cuong (SCL) reported Q3/2026 profit of VND 38 billion, up 136%, on net revenue of over VND 263 billion (up nearly 98%), while gross profit margin rose from about 36% to 41%. For the first nine months, revenue reached nearly VND 666 billion (up 81%) and after-tax profit nearly VND 94 billion, already exceeding more than 110% of its full-year profit target. Chairman Kieu Van Mat attributed the results to technology upgrades, production line optimization and capacity expansion, with several new plants expected to start operations by November 2026. The company said it spent more than two years testing its products before Vingroup accepted them; Vingroup's share of its business has fallen to about 25% as customers expanded to around 10 major groups and exports began to Laos, Cambodia and the Philippines. Over the past two years, the company has invested about VND 1,000 billion in factories and technology.

    CafeF·SCLearningsVingroup
  • Coteccons Chairman Bolat Duisenov reveals new direction: expanding home construction for individual customers

    At the annual general meeting on October 20, Coteccons (HoSE: CTD) set fiscal 2027 targets of VND 42,000 billion in revenue and VND 1,050 billion in after-tax profit, and said it is considering expanding into residential construction for individual customers (B2C). In fiscal 2026, net revenue reached VND 34,340 billion (up 38%, 115% of plan) and after-tax profit VND 788 billion (up 73%); new contract wins totaled VND 60,307 billion and backlog was about VND 70,000 billion. In the first quarter of the new fiscal year, the company booked revenue of VND 11,270 billion and profit of VND 306 billion, but new contract value of VND 14,519 billion was lower than a year earlier; the company said it is tightening criteria for selecting clients and projects. Coteccons is also working with Microsoft, is expected to become a strategic partner of Workday, and targets raising its ROE from 10% to 15-18% by 2030.

    CafeF·• CTDCTDhousingearnings
  • UPS Yields 6.7% After Firing Amazon. Here's Whether the Dividend Survives 2027.

    UPS shares yield 6.7% as of October 16. The company has moved away from high-volume, low-margin Amazon deliveries and froze its dividend earlier this year, ending a 16-year streak of increases. The article says the payout will likely remain frozen through 2026 and 2027, citing competition from 10- and 30-year Treasury yields above 5% and other industrial dividend payers, but calls the dividend's safety questionable: UPS generated $5.47 billion in free cash flow in 2025, with $5.4 billion going to dividends, and free cash flow is projected to fall to $5.05 billion in 2026 and $5.01 billion in 2027, with the dividend absorbing about 98% of 2026 free cash flow. Rising competition and high fuel prices add pressure, and the article suggests investors may find more safety in the industrial sector.

    Yahoo Finance·dividendsUPSAmazon
  • Asian shares mostly decline after AI stocks lead a rebound on Wall Street

    Asian shares mostly fell in cautious trading on Tuesday after AI-related stocks rebounded on Wall Street, while other sectors stayed shaky and oil prices stayed high. Japan's Nikkei 225 slipped 0.6% to 64,512.35 in early trading, South Korea's Kospi dropped 2.8%, and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 lost 0.8%. On Wall Street, the S&P 500 rose 0.4% and the Nasdaq gained 1.1%, helped by Nvidia's 1.4% gain, while most stocks outside AI and tech fell and the Dow slipped 0.1%. The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 5.14%, and U.S. crude rose to $103.50 a barrel and Brent to $109.47, as uncertainty about when the energy industry will return to normal after the war with Iran means oil is unlikely to ease soon.

    clickorlando.com·▲ QQQ▲ SPY▲ NVDA• VNINDEXAsiaartificial intelligenceWall Street
  • Asian shares mostly decline after AI stocks lead a rebound on Wall Street

    Asian shares mostly fell in cautious trading Tuesday after AI-related stocks rebounded on Wall Street, while other sectors stayed shaky and oil prices remained high. Japan's Nikkei 225 slipped 0.6% to 64,512.35, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 lost 0.8% to 8,772.10, and South Korea's Kospi dropped 2.8% to 5,605.31. On Wall Street, the S&P 500 rose 0.4% and the Nasdaq rallied 1.1%, helped by Nvidia, while the Dow fell 0.1%. The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 5.14%, and U.S. crude rose 0.15% to $103.50 a barrel as uncertainty over the war with Iran kept oil prices elevated.

    clickondetroit.com·▲ QQQ▲ SPY▲ NVDA• VNINDEXAsiaartificial intelligenceWall Street
  • What Could X-Energy (XE) Gain From Its 960MW Indiana Nuclear Project?

    X-Energy (NasdaqGS:XE), American Electric Power and Amazon agreed to assess a 960 MW advanced nuclear project in Indiana using Xe-100 reactors, on a former coal plant site. Under the joint development agreement, Amazon would provide development funding and commit to a long-term power purchase. The article says the deal offers commercial validation for X-Energy's reactor platform rather than immediate financial relief, as the company, with a $4.3b market cap, reported $150.28 million in revenue, a $448.87 million loss, and a 20.2x price-to-sales ratio. The next key milestone is whether the study reaches a final investment decision for the Sullivan County site.

    Yahoo Finance·XEnuclear powerAmazon

All news →

Get the briefing on Telegram or Zalo

Join the Upside Telegram channel or Zalo group for the Vietnam stocks and gold briefing at 8:00 and 19:00 (Vietnam time) on trading days, plus a weekly wrap on Saturday morning.