SpaceX (SPCX) went public in June, rising to around $200 before falling to $110 and recovering to just above $150, close to its opening-day price. The author says a $2,000 stake could grow substantially but would need to reach roughly $200,000 over 15 to 20 years to meaningfully help with early retirement. With a valuation near $2 trillion, a 10x gain would be hard, so investors should judge whether SpaceX can beat the S&P 500's average return of about 10% per year. Revenue grew 92% in the second quarter, but the company is not yet profitable, which the author calls the biggest hurdle. The author believes growth in space, AI and satellite internet could support that, though it may take longer than investors hope.
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