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CREA downgrades home sales forecast for the third time this year – Winnipeg Free Press

CREA has downgraded its 2026 home sales forecast for the third straight quarter, now expecting 444,530 sales this year, down 5.2% from 2025, compared with a July forecast of a 1.4% decline. The national average home price is projected to rise 0.2% to $681,681, about $5,000 lower than predicted in the summer. In September, national home sales fell 7.7% year over year and 2.3% from August, the national average sale price dropped 1.6% to $666,538, and CREA's home price index declined 3.4% year over year. Senior economist Shaun Cathcart said many markets stepped back after four months of modest progress, following a jump in fixed mortgage rates and widespread expectations of a Bank of Canada rate hike before year-end.

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