See the full story in the original article.
Original headline: Here’s How Much Tesla Stock Is Expected to Move After Earnings
Read the original on Yahoo Finance ↗
Keywords
Open a keyword to see other news on the same topic.
Related tickers and likely impact
TSLA
• NeutralTesla, Inc.
Relevance: high
| Market | US stocks |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Discretionary |
| Industry | Automobile Manufacturers |
| Market cap | $1.4T |
| Close on 10/16/2026 | 354.72 |
| Change that session | -2.13% |
Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.
Related news
- Wall Street Projects A Down Quarter For Tesla Earnings; Stock Rebounds
- Did Tesla's Fall Catch You Out? What Investors Missed
Tesla shares fell 20.7% over the past year, including dividends, despite the company's focus on robotaxis, humanoid robots and AI chip plans. Revenue rose to US$28.24b in Q2 2026 from US$22.50b a year earlier, but net income slipped to US$1.12b and net margin fell from 5.2% to 4.0%, challenging the assumption that heavy AI and robotics spending would quickly lift profitability. The article compares two narratives: one with a Fair Value of US$500, and a more cautious one at US$332 that treats slower product ramps and tariff-driven cost pressure as risks. Tesla now trades at US$355, after starting the period at US$429. The piece asks whether Tesla can turn Optimus and robotaxi economics into recurring revenue.
- History Says Tesla Stock Swings Hard on Earnings. It Has Moved 8% or More After 10 of Its Last 15 Reports.
Tesla reports third-quarter results after the close on Wednesday, October 21. Since 2023, the stock has moved 8% or more from report-day close to the next session's close after 10 of its 15 quarterly reports, averaging about 9%, and fell after nine, including the last three. The big moves track operating income: all seven large declines followed a year-over-year drop in operating income, while two of the three large gains followed a rise, the exception being April 2024, when a faster new-model timeline lifted shares despite weak profits. Second-quarter 2026 operating income was $398 million on revenue up 26% to about $28.2 billion, so third-quarter operating income would need to exceed four times that level just to grow from around $1.6 billion a year earlier. The stock trades around 340 times GAAP earnings, which the article says can amplify reactions.
- Buy, Hold or Sell TSLA Stock? Key Tips Ahead of Q3 Earnings
Tesla (TSLA) is scheduled to report third-quarter 2026 results after the close on Wednesday. The Zacks consensus expects earnings of 44 cents per share, down 12% year over year, and revenue of $27.8 billion, down 1.1%. Tesla delivered 486,532 vehicles in the quarter, up 1.3% sequentially but down 2.1% year over year and below the model estimate of 494,446 units. Zacks' Earnings ESP of -10.98% and Rank #4 (Sell) mean its model does not predict an earnings beat. The article notes that 2026 capex is expected to exceed $25 billion and shares are down 21% year to date, and it argues investors are better off staying away from the stock now.
- Tesla Rises 4% as DeSantis Vows to Make Flying Roadster Legal in Florida; Rivian and Lucid Slip
Tesla shares rose 4% to $367.59 in afternoon trading after Florida Governor Ron DeSantis pledged to make the company's flying Roadster legal in his state, saying on X that the state would ensure it is legal. The pledge followed Tesla's unveiling of the long-delayed Roadster last week, where a version fitted with air tanks and thrusters launched from a ramp, flew briefly and landed on its wheels. Rivian fell 0.9% to $12.31 and Lucid slipped 1.12% to $3.10, while Tesla's gain also reflected a broad tech rebound, with the QQQ up 2%. The article notes that federal regulators decide whether a vehicle can fly, production is years away, and Tesla has not announced a price for the flying version.
- America's EV Plans Have Died
Billions of dollars went into EV factories, dealerships and marketing after President Biden set a goal for 50% of new US car sales to be zero-emission by 2030, but EV sales have since fallen sharply. US EV sales dropped 30.7% in the first nine months of 2026, after the $7,500 tax credit expired on September 30 last year, and gas prices near $4.50 per gallon have done little to lift them. According to Kelley Blue Book, the average transaction price of a new EV was $54,754 in August, above the $50,089 average for all new cars. Ford's EV sales fell 80.2% to 6,047 in the third quarter, and it has no new EV planned until its Fathom launches next year, while Tesla holds over 50% of the market and no other major automaker has even 10%. The article says EVs could recover if gas prices reach $5 and stay there for months, but that is uncertain.
Related markets
Latest news
- 3M stock rises 3% on $6B Amazon data center deal
3M shares rose 3% in after-hours trading after announcing a strategic commercial agreement with Amazon covering data center products. Under the deal, 3M issued an Amazon subsidiary a warrant to buy up to 3,162,015 shares at $164.89 per share over seven years. 85% of the shares vest based on cumulative Amazon payments for data center products, with full vesting once payments reach $6 billion, while the remainder depends on event-based milestones not detailed in the filing. The agreement, formalized on October 19, 2026, centers on 3M supplying optical connectivity and other data center products to Amazon.
- Stock Market Today, Oct. 19: Amazon Surges on Morgan Stanley Top Pick and $350 Price Target
Amazon (AMZN) closed at $262.45 on Oct. 19, up 4.98%, after Morgan Stanley named it a top pick, kept an Overweight rating and raised its price target to $350 from $335. Morgan Stanley cited the AI boom as a key driver and five catalysts, including AWS growth nearly tripling from 2025 to 2028. Trading volume reached 54.5 million shares, about 4% above the three-month average of 38.9 million. AWS revenue in Q2 rose 37% year over year to $42.2 billion, the fastest growth in 18 quarters, and investors await the Q3 report on October 29. Litigation and regulatory risk remain a longer-term overhang on valuation.
- NVIDIA Deal Highlights Value of Tiny's Early Poolside Investment
Tiny's original US$250,000 seed investment in Poolside is now ascribed a value of about US$11.1 million (C$15.8 million), roughly 44 times the initial cost, based on NVIDIA's reported financing terms. The deal pairs a US$6 billion technology licence with a US$1 billion investment in Poolside at a US$13 billion post-money valuation. Tiny's estimate applies that valuation to its roughly 0.0854% indirect stake and excludes its separate shares in Poolside Infrastructure Company (PIC), to which no value has been assigned. Tiny says its core strategy remains majority ownership of durable, cash-generating businesses, with Poolside a small, selective minority investment.
- Anthropic Gives 5% of Itself to the Public. Musk Answers by Giving Away SpaceX Shares
Anthropic will commit 5% of its shares to a new Public Benefit Fund, subject to stockholder approval, and says roughly 20% of its stock will go to public causes once co-founder and employee pledges are counted. Elon Musk responded by promising one SpaceX share to every U.S. child next year, a giveaway worth more than $10 billion at current prices. The fund follows a draft AI safety bill Anthropic pitched to lawmakers, which would let the government block models posing a risk of killing or injuring more than 50 people or causing over $1 billion in damage. Anthropic is preparing an IPO as soon as November at a reported valuation of around $2 trillion, which would put its 5% stake at about $100 billion on paper rather than in cash. The fund is a wholly owned LLC rather than a nonprofit, and it cannot be used for lobbying or political donations.
- Why CoreWeave Struggles Could Weigh Down Nvidia Stock
CoreWeave (CRWV) shares plunged last week over concerns about rising interest rates and its heavy debt load, and are down well over 20% over the past month. Nvidia (NVDA) is also exposed, having invested billions in CoreWeave and being one of its major customers, though its stock has fallen only about 2% over the past month. With a market cap of around $5.2 trillion, Nvidia trades at a forward P/E of 25 and a PEG of about 0.48, below the 1.0 level the article uses to define a cheap stock, but this valuation rests on expected growth. The article warns that doubts about Nvidia's growth could trigger a steep correction, citing tech firms making their own chips and possible AI spending cuts if interest rates rise.
- Power company announces an important decision
CTCP Nhiệt điện Quảng Ninh (QTP) says its board approved the EPC contract for package 05 of its flue gas treatment upgrade project, signed with the SEC-Pacific joint venture of Shanghai Electric Group and CTCP Tập đoàn Thái Bình Dương on a fixed-price basis. The contract is worth over 89.75 million USD and nearly 902 billion VND, about 3,271 billion VND in total, with 38 months to complete. SEC-Pacific was the only bidder to pass technical evaluation, as rival CISDI failed to reach the minimum score. The company has also appointed two deputy general directors this year, Nguyễn Công Kiên from 12/8/2026 and Dương Thành Công from 16/10/2026, after former board member Lê Việt Cường was arrested in February 2026 over alleged forgery of documents. For the first six months of 2026, net revenue reached nearly 6,359 billion VND, up over 10%, and profit after tax about 524 billion VND, up over 44%, already exceeding its full-year 2026 profit plan.
Get the briefing on Telegram or Zalo
Join the Upside Telegram channel or Zalo group for the Vietnam stocks and gold briefing at 8:00 and 19:00 (Vietnam time) on trading days, plus a weekly wrap on Saturday morning.