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History Says Tesla Stock Swings Hard on Earnings. It Has Moved 8% or More After 10 of Its Last 15 Reports.

Tesla reports third-quarter results after the close on Wednesday, October 21. Since 2023, the stock has moved 8% or more from report-day close to the next session's close after 10 of its 15 quarterly reports, averaging about 9%, and fell after nine, including the last three. The big moves track operating income: all seven large declines followed a year-over-year drop in operating income, while two of the three large gains followed a rise, the exception being April 2024, when a faster new-model timeline lifted shares despite weak profits. Second-quarter 2026 operating income was $398 million on revenue up 26% to about $28.2 billion, so third-quarter operating income would need to exceed four times that level just to grow from around $1.6 billion a year earlier. The stock trades around 340 times GAAP earnings, which the article says can amplify reactions.

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MarketUS stocks
SectorConsumer Discretionary
IndustryAutomobile Manufacturers
Market cap$1.4T
Close on 10/16/2026354.67
Change that session-2.14%
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