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IMF official highlights mounting global fiscal challenges

Rodrigo Valdes, Director of the IMF's Fiscal Affairs Department, says governments in almost all economies face pressing fiscal challenges from high debt, higher interest rates and rising spending demands. The newly released Fiscal Monitor projects global public debt to exceed 100 percent of global GDP before 2030, and real interest rates on government debt remain above pre-pandemic levels. Defense spending, particularly in Europe and the U.S., along with population aging and climate-related investment needs, adds to the pressure. Governments have provided subsidies or tax cuts for oil averaging about 0.5 percent of GDP, which could rise to between 1 and 1.5 percent of GDP if oil-price increases are not passed on to consumers. Valdes urges measures that are targeted, temporary and transparent, and says China is less vulnerable than countries with comparable debt levels due to its liquid assets, partly closed financial account and high savings rate.

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