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Is Procter & Gamble a Buy After Its Latest Earnings Report?

P&G shares rose more than 5% after its fiscal 2027 first-quarter report showed organic sales up 4%, compared with 1% in the prior quarter, driven mainly by volume (2.4%) and mix (1.1%). The company kept its full-year organic sales guidance at 1%-3%, while core EPS rose 1% to $2.00 amid higher commodity costs and tariffs, and its adjusted EPS outlook of 0%-3% growth was reaffirmed. At about $165 a share, the stock trades near 23.5 times forward earnings, above the under-21 times level earlier this year but below its peak of more than 26x in late 2024. The author says the margin of safety is razor-thin after the rally: P&G remains a high-quality defensive dividend stock, but the risk is failing to return to mid-single-digit EPS growth, and waiting for a more favorable price may be preferable to buying after earnings.

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