The article argues that Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) and ASML are both near-monopolies, but Taiwan Semiconductor is the safer investment. ASML is the only maker of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, while Taiwan Semiconductor accounted for about 72.5% of chip fabrication revenue in Q2, a scale no rival matches. The author warns that ASML's business depends on chipmakers expanding capacity for the AI build-out, which may slow once that wave ends. ASML also trades at a sizable premium to Taiwan Semiconductor on both 2026 and 2027 earnings estimates.
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