The article argues that President Trump faces mounting pressure from inflation and war ahead of the midterm elections. The last consumer price index report before the vote showed inflation at 3.7 percent, well below the 9.1 percent peak under Biden but still a burden for Republicans. Trump's job approval on the economy stands at 33.8 percent in the RealClearPolitics average, and only 27.2 percent approve of his handling of inflation. The author attributes the biggest driver of recent inflation to an energy price spike caused by the Iran war, which he says Trump chose to start despite warnings about the Strait of Hormuz. Trump argues the inflation is a small price for preventing Iran from getting a nuclear weapon, but the article contends that his party will likely pay the political cost at the polls.
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