News · Yahoo Finance

Prediction: At 1.6 Million Robots, Optimus Is “Greater Than the Revenue From Tesla.” Musk Sees 625x That

Venture capitalist Dave Blundin said on the Moonshots podcast that Optimus robot revenue could exceed Tesla's own revenue if the company builds 1.6 million robots a year, while Elon Musk has predicted well over a billion humanoid robots within 10 years. At $30,000 a robot, Tesla would need to sell about 4 million Optimus units to match the $122 billion in revenue analysts expect for 2027, while the company expects first deliveries to outside customers around the end of 2027. Tesla trades at 187x forward earnings, compared with a five-year average of 108x, and its latest quarterly GAAP operating margin was 2.6%. The author says he would want to see Optimus shipping to outside customers before paying for the stock's current valuation.

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MarketUS stocks
SectorConsumer Discretionary
IndustryAutomobile Manufacturers
Market cap$1.6T
Close on 11/02/2026403.82
Change that session+1.00%
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