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3 Major Risks With Anthropic's IPO

Anthropic has filed its IPO prospectus, in which management claims a $40 trillion total addressable market and revenue growth of 1,300% in the first half of the year versus the same period of 2025. The article highlights three risks: competition from Gemini, ChatGPT, low-cost models like DeepSeek and on-device AI; rising compute costs, with $265.6 billion in future commitments under some agreements and more than $500 billion estimated for others; and a capital structure in which a founding-team LLC holds one share carrying 50.1% of voting rights, which may limit Class A shareholders' influence over key decisions, including a change of control. In Q2, compute and infrastructure expenses rose 300% against 1,368% revenue growth, a gap the author says may not last.

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