See the full story in the original article.
Read the original on business.scoop.co.nz ↗
Keywords
Open a keyword to see other news on the same topic.
Related news
- Higher for longer : why low rates are relics of the past
Mortgage holders should expect rates to stay higher for longer, as the RBA warns that competition for global capital from AI and data centre companies is lifting the neutral rate. Assistant governor Christopher Kent said there is reasonable evidence neutral rates are rising in Australia and abroad, and the 4.6% cash rate is the highest in 15 years. Markets almost fully price in another rise by mid-2027 and do not expect rates to fall below current levels by mid-2028, while the term premium has hit a 12-year high. CBA chief economist Luke Yeaman argued that heavy government and AI spending makes rates less effective, so the RBA would have to hit households harder, and warned that loose fiscal policy would force it to push rates higher still. Federal government spending reached 26.9% of GDP in 2025/26, the highest in 40 years excluding COVID-19, and HSBC's Paul Bloxham urged further cuts in the mid-year update due in December.
- Higher for longer : why low rates are relics of the past
The RBA's cash rate of 4.6% is the highest in 15 years, and markets almost fully price in another rate rise by mid-2027, with no cuts expected below current levels by mid-2028. The RBA says intense global competition for capital from AI and data centre companies is pushing up the neutral interest rate. Commonwealth Bank and HSBC economists argue that heavy government and AI-company spending makes rates less effective at reducing demand, and federal government spending reached 26.9% of GDP in 2025/26, the highest in 40 years excluding COVID-19. They urge the government to curb spending in its mid-year fiscal update expected in December, warning that otherwise the RBA will push rates harder. The term premium has climbed to a 12-year high, tightening financial conditions further.
- RBA says the exchange rate and Aussie dollar have the biggest impact on monetary policy , not cash flow squeeze on borrowers
The Reserve Bank of Australia is pushing back against the view that interest rates work mainly by punishing borrowers, and has shifted its messaging to stress the importance of the exchange rate for monetary policy. RBA modelling indicates that exchange rate movements triggered by rate changes can account for as much as two-thirds of monetary policy's impact on GDP and inflation.
- Higher for longer : why low rates are relics of the past
Mortgage holders should expect interest rates to stay higher for longer, whether or not the RBA lifts them again. The RBA says intense global competition for capital from AI and data centre companies is pushing up the neutral rate, and assistant governor Christopher Kent said there is reasonable evidence neutral rates are rising in Australia and abroad. The cash rate is now 4.6%, the highest in 15 years, and markets have almost fully priced in another rise by mid-2027, with no expected falls below current levels before mid-2028. Economists Luke Yeaman and Paul Bloxham link high government spending, at 26.9% of GDP in 2025/26 and the highest in 40 years excluding COVID-19, to weaker rate effects, and Bloxham urged further federal spending cuts.
- Higher for longer : why low rates are relics of the past
Mortgage holders should expect rates to stay high for longer, whether or not the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) lifts them again. The RBA says competition for capital from AI and data centre companies is pushing up its estimate of the neutral rate, which Christopher Kent said appears to be rising in Australia and abroad. At 4.6 per cent, the cash rate is the highest in 15 years, markets have almost fully priced in another rise by mid-2027, and they do not expect rates to fall below current levels before mid-2028. Luke Yeaman of Commonwealth Bank warned that higher government spending would force the RBA to push rates harder, while Paul Bloxham of HSBC urged spending cuts after federal government spending reached 26.9 per cent of GDP in 2025/26. Treasurer Jim Chalmers has flagged further savings measures in the December update, though previously announced savings face resistance in parliament.
- ASX climbs as big four banks and oil giants offset Wall Street technology slump
The ASX 200 gained 39.00 points (0.44%) to 8,845.70 and the All Ordinaries rose 0.39% to 8,975.70, as energy producers and the big banks offset a tech sell-off that followed a slump on Wall Street. The S&P 500 lost nearly 2% last week and the Nasdaq fell 4.5%, while weaker-than-expected jobs data cut the market-implied chance of an RBA rate hike to around 20%. Global X's Joseph Marassa warned that markets may be underpricing a hike given persistently high oil prices. Cleanaway surged 20.24% to $2.97 after announcing a sale to EQT for $9.3bn, and Challenger jumped 19.29% to $11.75 as it considers a takeover bid from Daiichi Life worth $7.8bn. Ampol fell 2.51% despite announcing that refined fuel margins had risen more than 120%.
Related markets
Latest news
- JPMorgan's JPM Coin, representing dollar deposits, is coming to Ethereum: Bloomberg
JPMorgan will make JPM Coin, a token representing its dollar deposits, available to institutional clients on Ethereum, according to Bloomberg. The bank says Ethereum's liquidity makes it attractive to crypto companies seeking blockchain payments and to financial firms settling trades or backing tokenized assets. The move extends JPMorgan's blockchain work beyond Base and its private Kinexys network, which processes more than $7 billion daily. The bank did not say when the token will go live on Ethereum. Meanwhile, JPMorgan is among US banks planning a shared tokenized deposit network, but it was not on Swift's list of 17 banks preparing live transactions on its blockchain ledger in July.
- Cerrado Gold Reports 21% Year-Over-Year Increase in Q3 2026 Production Results at Minera Don Nicolas
Cerrado Gold reported Q3 2026 production of 16,685 GEO at the Minera Don Nicolas (MDN) mine in Santa Cruz Province, Argentina, up 21% from 13,832 GEO in Q3 2025. Year-to-date output reached 44,942 GEO, up 23% from 36,432 GEO in the comparable 2025 period. Heap leach output held steady at 9,649 GEO, while CIL output rose to 7,036 GEO as higher-grade Calandrias material, generally above 2.5 g/t gold, was routed to the Martinetas mill. Laboratory tests on selected material showed gold recoveries of up to 95%, versus about 60% expected from heap leaching, and the company now expects full-year 2026 production at the upper end of its 50,000 to 60,000 GEO guidance while targeting a new PEA by late Q1 2027.
- Is Visa Stock Still a Buy After Gaining 14% This Year?
Visa shares hit an all-time high of $401, up about 12% over the past two weeks from $359 at the end of September and up 14% year to date. Key catalysts include approval from the People's Bank of China to set up a bankcard clearing institution in China and the move of Visa Direct's stablecoin to commercial deployment on Oct. 15. Baird and BMO Capital both raised their price targets. Visa reports fiscal fourth-quarter earnings on Oct. 27 and has raised its dividend every year since 2009, last year by 14% to $0.67 per share. The author still considers the stock a buy ahead of earnings, citing a forward P/E of 24.
- Five things to watch in markets in the week ahead
Markets start the week with AI stocks under pressure after hotter-than-expected September inflation raised expectations of higher US rates and fed worries about debt-funded AI spending. Last week the Philadelphia semiconductor index fell 11.41% and the Nasdaq Composite lost 4.48%, with CoreWeave shedding about a quarter of its value and Oracle down 9.31%. Earnings are in focus, with SpaceX and Netflix reporting on Tuesday and Meta and Tesla on Wednesday after the close. Netflix reportedly plans to cut around 6% of its workforce, roughly 1,000 roles, its biggest reduction since 2022. SpaceX has also agreed to buy spectrum licenses from Grain Management for about $8 billion, a move into the wireless market.
- eMemory/PUFsecurity Showcases OCP S.A.F.E.-Approved PUFrt at OCP Global Summit, Strengthening AI Data Center Security with Caliptra
PUFsecurity, a subsidiary of eMemory Technology, was featured at Microsoft's Caliptra Workshop on Oct. 12, the opening day of the 2026 OCP Global Summit, which drew nearly 400 attendees. Its PUFrt received OCP S.A.F.E. Scope 3 approval after an independent assessment of its resistance to physical attacks such as fault injection and side-channel attacks, and is now listed on the OCP Marketplace. PUFrt provides the physical security foundation for Caliptra, an open-source hardware Root-of-Trust architecture, from key generation to chip mass-production testing. It has already been integrated into Caliptra products from ASPEED and security systems from several memory makers and networking chip vendors. The company says the milestone advances hardware security for cloud and AI infrastructure.
- Crypto vault deposits top $10 billion as lending risks draw regulatory scrutiny
Deposits into crypto lending vaults have risen from $4 billion at the start of last year to more than $10 billion, according to the Financial Times. Each vault is run by a 'curator' who selects lending strategies through smart contracts on DeFi platforms, sets risk limits and collects fees, with typical returns of 3% to 10% and riskier strategies reaching 20% or more. Risks include illiquid or hard-to-sell collateral, automatic liquidations, hacks and coding errors, while investors may focus on headline yields. Fintechs, digital asset treasury firms and hedge funds are among the main depositors, and Bitcoin lender Two Prime launched a vault on Pareto targeting 1.5% to 2% yields, with a minimum deposit of 5 WBTC and about $10 million of its own capital absorbing initial losses. U.S. and European regulators are examining whether existing rules should apply, and the SEC has questioned vaults that hold securities.
Get the briefing on Telegram or Zalo
Join the Upside Telegram channel or Zalo group for the Vietnam stocks and gold briefing at 8:00 and 19:00 (Vietnam time) on trading days, plus a weekly wrap on Saturday morning.