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Exxon Wants to Repeat Its Guyana Success in Trinidad. Should You Buy the Stock Now or Wait for the First Well?

ExxonMobil (XOM) is looking for its next major offshore oil discovery, and Trinidad and Tobago could be where it finds one. Its TTUD-1 exploration block covers about 7,165 square kilometers near Guyana, where Exxon and partners have found roughly 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil. Exxon sees Trinidad as a geological extension of Guyana, with a first drilling location expected by mid-2027 and an initial well potentially in late 2027 or early 2028, though there is no guarantee of comparable resources. In Q2 2026, Exxon reported $14.5 billion in earnings, $17.2 billion in free cash flow and $9.4 billion returned to shareholders, while Permian output hit a record 1.8 million oil-equivalent barrels per day. The author argues the existing business supports the investment case, so a Trinidad result would be an added benefit rather than the deciding factor.

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