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- You Can't Outrun a Bear Market, but Successful Investors Don't Have to Because They Follow This Playbook Instead
The S&P 500 is up 14% in 2026 as of Oct. 13, but inflation remains stubborn, U.S. families falling behind on loan payments are at their highest since 2010, and U.S. debt exceeds $40 trillion, keeping bear market fears alive. The article argues that panic selling can be costly, since 48% of the S&P 500's best days from 1996 through 2025 came during bear markets, according to Hartford Funds. A $10,000 investment in 1996 would have grown to $192,167 by the end of 2025, but missing the 10 best days would have cut that to $85,490, and missing the 30 best days would have left just $31,123. Instead of selling, the article recommends holding high-conviction stocks that investors are comfortable buying more of if prices fall, and cites Warren Buffett's advice that one should not own a stock for ten minutes unless willing to own it for ten years.
- ASML Can't Keep Up With 2027 or 2028 Demand. Is It the Best AI Stock to Buy Now?
ASML reported record third-quarter 2026 revenue of 11.7 billion euros, at the high end of its guidance, with a gross margin of 57.5%, above guidance. Management said customers are already looking to place orders for 2029 and 2030. ASML now expects its planned supply for 2027 and 2028 will not fully meet customer demand, and it is investigating ways to raise 2028 capacity beyond the 30% increase it announced earlier. The article argues this strengthens ASML's pricing power. The company forecasts 2026 net sales of 44 billion to 45 billion euros, a gross margin of around 56%, and EUV sales growth of 45%.
- CoreWeave's Debt Insurance Costs Just Hit a Record. Can It Keep Funding Its AI Boom?
The cost of insuring CoreWeave's debt through five-year credit default swaps (CDS) hit a record 1,038 basis points, up 164% year over year, signaling growing investor worry about a possible default. The company carries roughly $51 billion in debt and lease obligations while still posting losses, with a $626 million net loss last quarter versus $290 million a year earlier. Capital spending of $6.4 billion pushed free cash flow to negative $5.7 billion, leaving it dependent on outside funding. Revenue of $2.58 billion more than doubled from a year earlier and its backlog reached $104 billion, but the author argues higher borrowing costs could squeeze the company further, though rising CDS rates do not guarantee a default.
- Nifty festive comeback : Can the bulls keep the party going ?
- Bitcoin Shakes Off Spooky Season Jitters: Can Bulls Keep It Going?
Bitcoin rose 2.24% to $83,591.79 after dipping to $80,953.41 early Tuesday, while the Crypto Fear and Greed Index cooled from an “extreme greed” reading of 82 on Aug. 26 to a neutral level. Bitcoin ETFs have seen net outflows of $386.3 million in October as traders await Wednesday's CPI report, expected to show annual inflation rising to 3.6% from 3.4%, and the Federal Reserve's meeting on Oct. 27-28. On Myriad, traders put the odds at 54% that Bitcoin falls to $80,000 this month and 45% that it reaches $87,500. Technically, the price has reclaimed the golden zone between $81,847.57 and $82,305.50, but the ADX has eased from 42.8 to 29.9, suggesting the uptrend is coasting rather than accelerating. A daily close above $84,245.88 could open $86,644.19, while a close below $81,603.02 would bring the upper edge of the daily trend band, just above $80,000, into play.
- Claude Was Right About Microsoft (MSFT): Can The Stock Keep Rising?
Microsoft has unveiled Maia 300, its third-generation AI chip, which it says will become the main system for running AI across its products from 2027. The stock is up about 40% over the past six months. Bulls point to software already embedded in most large companies, Azure revenue up 43% in fiscal Q4 2026, a commercial backlog up 84% (25% excluding OpenAI) and over 30 million paid Microsoft 365 Copilot seats. Bears cite reliance on Nvidia chips, Google Cloud's 82% growth versus Azure's 43%, AI rivals threatening per-user software revenue, rising capital spending and OpenAI's role in backlog growth. The stock trades at about 27 times forward earnings, 18.33% above the sector median of 22.87 and 11.26% below its five-year average of 30.50, while analyst consensus is Strong Buy and quant scoring is Hold.
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- Roblox Is Now Down 38% in 2026: Is RBLX Stock Dead Money or Poised for a Comeback?
Roblox stock is down 38% year to date to $50.41, with a late-September court ruling letting a Los Angeles County child exploitation lawsuit proceed and a Jefferies downgrade to Underperform adding pressure. Jefferies argued the rally after the Q2 report priced in too much bookings growth, which rose only 8% to $1.6 billion in Q2 even as daily active users grew 10% to 123 million. Safety changes, including a mandatory age check, had already led Roblox to cut its full-year revenue growth forecast to 20% to 25% earlier this year. For Q3 2026, Roblox forecasts a year-over-year bookings decline of 14% to 18%. Take-Two (down 20%) and GameStop (up 31%) year to date suggest the pressure is specific to Roblox, and the article frames the key test as whether bookings stabilize while user growth continues.
- Super Micro (SMCI) Won Over $60 Billion in Orders, Is the Discount Deserved?
A contractor linked to Super Micro Computer (SMCI) pleaded guilty earlier this month to helping ship servers with advanced Nvidia chips to China, a case prosecutors say involved billions of dollars of U.S. AI technology, though the company says it was not named as a defendant and its operations are unaffected. Sales for the fiscal year ended June reached $39.1 billion, up from $22.0 billion, with CEO Charles Liang citing more than $60 billion in new orders, several hundred added enterprise customers, and a record backlog. Management guides to $65.0 billion to $72.0 billion in fiscal 2027 sales, and sales have grown about 61.5% a year over five years. Gross margin was 10.8% for the full year but rose to 17.5% in the June quarter, with net income of $1,178 million, while the trailing 12-month operating margin was 7.09%. The article notes the stock trades at a much lower multiple of expected earnings than the sector, and that one strong quarter does not yet prove a new margin level.
- Is Nvidia Stock Really Trading for Just 8 Times 2030 Earnings?
Nvidia is the market's most valuable company, with a market cap above $5 trillion. It trades at 27 times adjusted trailing earnings, but only about 8 times analysts' estimate for fiscal 2030 earnings, a figure the author stresses is a moving target. Revenue growth accelerated from 56% in Q2 FY 2026 to 106% in Q2 FY 2027, though guidance points to a slight slowdown in the current quarter. The stock trades at 13 times next year's earnings, and the board recently authorized a record $150 billion in share repurchases. The author also acknowledges risks such as slower growth or contracting net margins.
- California billionaire tax could backfire, Stanford study says
Stanford economists Benjamin Jaros and Joshua Rauh argue in an NBER working paper that California's proposed one-time 5% tax on billionaire wealth could raise far less than projected and ultimately reduce state revenue. Seven billionaires, including Peter Thiel, Larry Page and Sergey Brin, have publicly left the state, removing about $540 billion, or 30%, of California's billionaire wealth from potential taxation. The authors estimate the measure could generate only about $30 billion, versus the $100 billion projected by proponents, while losing $1 billion to $3.5 billion a year in income tax revenue could leave the state about $39 billion worse off in present-value terms if those losses persist. The measure, Proposition 40, goes to voters next month, and a Citrin-Politico poll found 46% of likely voters in favor and 43% opposed. Supporters, including Nobel laureates Daron Acemoglu and Joseph Stiglitz, argue the tax will fund health care and that California has attracted more venture funding since the proposal was announced.
- US Orders Civilian Agencies to Rip DeepSeek Out of Government Systems
The U.S. Department of Homeland Security on Monday ordered civilian federal agencies to remove DeepSeek products and third-party services built on the model from their IT systems, and to stop buying them. The notice warns that using DeepSeek may transfer sensitive data to China and could produce intelligence on U.S. persons and agencies. The Commerce Department, the Navy, and the states of New York, Tennessee and Virginia had already restricted DeepSeek. The FCC votes on October 29 on barring Chinese labs from testing electronics for U.S. use.
- NVIDIA Stock And 2 Other Undervalued Stocks To Own
Rising interest rates have pushed down bond prices, with 10-year U.S. Treasuries recording one of their steepest multi-year declines since the 18th century. The article highlights three U.S. stocks that a Simply Wall St cash flow screen considers attractively priced relative to their future cash flow potential: NVIDIA, Wells Fargo and J.B. Hunt Transport Services. NVIDIA generated about US$275.4b from Compute & Networking and US$27.6b from Graphics, with a market cap of US$5,170.6b, and the piece notes that an open-source or cheaper alternative to its CUDA platform could weaken its moat. Wells Fargo, with a market cap of US$251.7b, grew average loans 12% and average deposits 10% year over year in 2Q26 after the removal of its asset cap, while J.B. Hunt, with a market cap of US$21.3b and US$13.3b in revenue, recorded record intermodal volume of over 578,000 loads in Q2 2026.
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