Walmart's share price beat the S&P 500 in each of the last five years to October 28, 2026, excluding dividends, a record matched by only 9 of the 485 S&P 500 members with five years of price data. The article estimates that luck alone would produce about six such streaks in this group, so nine is somewhat more than chance, but the share price cannot show which streaks reflect real skill. Walmart's profit rose in each of the five years, and twelve-month net income climbed 120% over the period against a 144% rise in the share price. The latest twelve months include tariff refunds that added about 7.5 percentage points to fiscal second-quarter 2027 operating income growth. Instead of the streak, the article points to profit growth as the figure to watch, citing 38% advertising growth and a raised fiscal 2027 adjusted operating income growth forecast of 7% to 8.5%, with the next report expected in November 2026.
Summary written by Upside AI from the original article. Read the source for full details.
Read the original on Yahoo Finance ↗
Keywords
Open a keyword to see other news on the same topic.
Related news
- Walmart's Total Return From 5 Milestones: Jet.com to the All-Time High
The article tracks a $1,000 investment at five milestones in Walmart's history, converted at a price of $117.67 in pre-market trading on October 16, 2026. Buyers at the announcement of the Jet.com deal in August 2016 now hold $5,725.70, the best return, while buyers during the pandemic in February 2020 are at $3,397.80. Buyers at the all-time high on May 19, 2026 are down 12.11%, with the investment now worth $878.90. Over 1 and 10 years, Walmart rose 8.83% and 511.41%, versus 16.03% and 263.4% for the S&P 500 (price only). The article concludes that the purchase price matters more than the holding period.
- Which Dates Could Move Walmart Stock Most?
Walmart stock returned 11.4% over the past month, while the S&P 500 slipped 1.0%, though it remains down 7.3% over six months. Management has guided for 3% to 3.75% sales growth in fiscal Q3 2027, which will be reported in November 2026, and expects Flipkart's Big Billion Days event to cut more than 100 basis points from that quarter's sales growth, with a similar amount added in fiscal Q4. Drug price rules are expected to cut about 125 basis points from Walmart U.S. comparable sales in fiscal 2027, and management expects more than $2 billion of extra fuel-related costs beyond its original plan, against $32.3 billion of operating income over the last twelve months. Walmart raised its full-year fiscal 2027 sales growth guidance to 4% to 5%, and its February 2027 report will show whether it meets that target. The stock's largest fall over the past year was 23.5%, from May 19 to August 27, 2026, with a 9.2% drop on August 20.
- Walmart ( NASDAQ : WMT ) Stock Sold by Rep . Jonathan L . Jackson
Representative Jonathan L. Jackson (D-Illinois) sold between $50,001 and $100,000 of Walmart (NASDAQ: WMT) stock on September 28, according to a filing disclosed October 19 that covers a Morgan Stanley trust account. WMT opened at $117.80, within a 52-week range of $98.88 to $135.15, with a market cap of $934.60 billion. In its latest quarterly report, Walmart posted EPS of $0.81, above the $0.74 consensus, on revenue of $187.94 billion. Separately, EVP Daniel Bartlett sold 3,990 shares at an average $104.41 on October 1 under a Rule 10b5-1 plan, and CEO John Furner sold 13,125 shares on October 15.
- Walmart Dropped 5% In The Last 6 Months: This Wall Street Firm Says 30% Gains Are Coming Soon
Walmart shares fell from a mid-May peak near $135, when the company was in the trillion-dollar club, and dropped 9% after its August report on weak guidance and a same-store sales miss. At $118.81, the stock sits below the $127.35 mean analyst target, about 7.2% upside, while Tigress Financial Partners' Ivan Feinseth has the Street-high target of $155.00, implying about 30.5% gain. Bulls point to advertising and marketplace growth: global advertising rose 38%, global eCommerce grew 23% to 24% of net sales, and U.S. marketplace sales rose 52%. JPMorgan kept an Overweight rating but cut its target to $125 from $137, and the stock trades at roughly 38 times forward earnings, with management planning to put tariff refunds into lower prices in the second half.
- Is Walmart Stock Increasing Your Market Risk?
The article finds that Walmart (WMT), worth about $886 billion, has barely moved with the S&P 500 over the past year, with a correlation of -0.02, though its volatility was 27% against 13.0% for the index. Over five years it returned 20.4% a year versus 13.7% for the S&P 500, with volatility of 22.6% against 17.0%. Revenue grew 5.6% to 7.3% year over year in each of the past four quarters, and on the August 20, 2026 earnings call management raised its sales growth forecast for the current fiscal year to 4% to 5%. The stock trades at 40.1 times earnings versus 21.9 for the S&P 500, and management acknowledged that lapping 19% EPS growth will be a challenge next year. Third-quarter sales growth was guided to 3% to 3.75%, and results below that range or a cut to the full-year forecast would be the first sign the business is changing.
- Is Walmart the Safest Stock to Own if the Tech Sell-Off Gets Worse?
The article notes that investors often turn to consumer staples such as Walmart (WMT) during downturns, as its lower prices attract both budget-conscious shoppers and higher-income customers. In 2022, Walmart stock fell only 2%, versus a 19% drop in the S&P 500 and a 33% drop in the Nasdaq Composite; in 2008, it rose 18% while the S&P 500 fell 38%. Although Walmart is up 9% since Sept. 30 and its year-to-date return is 13%, the author says its valuation is high, at about 43 times earnings versus a 10-year average of 32. Expected earnings growth of about 9% for fiscal 2027 and 11% for fiscal 2028 is not enough to justify that valuation, so the author does not consider it the safest stock if conditions worsen.
Related markets
Latest news
- Mercado Bitcoin says phased reopening to begin Monday, will cover losses
Brazilian crypto exchange Mercado Bitcoin said it will begin restoring customer account access on Monday after a hack that blockchain analysts estimated stole more than $46 million in assets. Initially, customers can only view balances, statements, holdings and investments through the website, while transfers, withdrawals and trading will resume in later phases after independent security testing. The company pledged to use its own funds to replenish affected assets and said more than $15 million in stolen funds has already been frozen with help from the industry. Its trading desk is preparing repurchases in domestic and international markets. The company also cited a $20 million investment from stablecoin issuer Tether, which it said supports operational expansion and a strong cash position.
- A Major Neocloud Stock Rally May Be Coming. These 3 Stocks Could Be the Biggest Winners.
Neocloud stocks fell sharply over the past month, with Nebius down 42%, TeraWulf down roughly 30% and Cipher Digital down almost 60%. Iren took the hardest hit in October and trades near $20, about a third of its all-time high, ahead of its fiscal 2027 Q1 report on Nov. 5. The company has a 5.8-gigawatt pipeline and plans to bring 500 megawatts online in 2027, raising its delivered total to 800 megawatts, which the article says could produce $16 billion in annual recurring revenue at $20 million per megawatt. Nebius reported Q2 revenue up 454% year over year, secured a $3.5 billion financing facility from Citi in October and is still up year to date. CoreWeave's Q2 revenue more than doubled to $2.6 billion and its backlog reached $104.2 billion, but its 0.46 current ratio and upcoming debt maturities lead the author to rank it as his least favorite of the three.
- Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) Stock Faces New Congress Risk After Election Shift
Democrats have won control of Congress after the latest US elections, and leadership of defense policy committees is expected to shift to Democratic chairs who have signaled interest in revisiting long-term Pentagon spending priorities. Contractors focused on advanced systems such as unmanned platforms and space technologies could face a reshuffle of funding emphasis and procurement timelines. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions supplies technology, hardware, systems and software across defense, national security and commercial markets, and has a market cap of $7.7b. The article notes that a NASA Space Reactor 1 Freedom subcontract supports the view that Kratos is also a space infrastructure supplier alongside Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman, not just a Pentagon contractor. It also argues that this political shift should not dominate how Kratos is assessed.
- Has Discovery Mining (TSX:DSV) Stock Earned Its Premium After New Permits?
Discovery Mining's share price has gained 1,688.7% over the past three years, raising the question of whether current earnings can justify its valuation. Fresh permits for the Cordero project and planned gold production at the Porcupine Complex could shift the timing and scale of future cash flows. The stock trades on a P/E of 26.7x, roughly double the Metals and Mining sector average of 13.4x but below the peer group average of 37.8x. Using a tailored fair-value model that weighs growth, profitability, size and risk, the article says the 26.7x P/E screens as overvalued compared with what that framework would typically assign to this profile. It argues the Cordero and Porcupine milestones are already reflected in the price, so investors need to judge whether earnings can justify paying above that modelled level.
- Why an equal-weight S&P 500 fund can reduce Big Tech risk
Big Tech companies dominate traditional S&P 500 index funds. Investment expert Dryden Pence explains how equal weighting can help investors diversify their portfolios.
- Dow Jones Futures Rise After Apple, Microsoft, Amazon Flash Buy Signals In Postelection Rally. CoreWeave, SpaceX Skid.
Election results and sharply falling oil prices sparked a stock market rally. Stocks across many sectors flashed buy signals, but the article points to one area to avoid.
Get the briefing on Telegram or Zalo
Join the Upside Telegram channel or Zalo group for the Vietnam stocks and gold briefing at 8:00 and 19:00 (Vietnam time) on trading days, plus a weekly wrap on Saturday morning.