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Jefferson County 2027 Budget Likely Affected by Inflation

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    CFO David Bulzoni said the county's $190 million preliminary 2027 spending plan has a deficit of nearly $4 million that will be hard to close without raising property taxes, which two of three commissioners have said they won't do. The gap has already shrunk from an almost $9 million projected shortfall through cuts and nonrecurring revenues, while drawing down the fund balance could jeopardize the county's credit rating. Budgeted expenses rose more than $9.2 million, or 5.1%, from 2026, while property tax revenue, the largest recurring source, is projected to grow just $267,324, or 0.26%. Bulzoni and consultant PFM recommend regular tax increases, but commissioners Thom Welby and Chris Chermak say they won't raise taxes in 2027 following the nearly 33% hike in 2025. Bulzoni warned that unaddressed deficits compound, pointing to past shortfalls growing from $8 million to $15 million and then $37 million.

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    Average hourly pay, adjusted for inflation, has returned to roughly where it began in January 2025: the average wage was $35.84 then ($37.79 in today's dollars), versus $37.81 last month, essentially unchanged over 20 months. September consumer prices rose 3.7% year-over-year, above the 3.6% expected and up from 3.4% in August, while gasoline rose 9.1% month-over-month. Economists describe the inflation problem as persistent, and Navy Federal Credit Union's Heather Long links the squeeze to the war in Iran that began at the end of February. The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index fell to 46.3 in October from 71.7 in January 2025. Some measures look better: weekly earnings have grown faster than hourly pay, the White House cites annual earnings growth of more than $600, and producer prices rose 1.3% in September, the highest since 2022.

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