The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate fell to 7.20% APR, 15 basis points below Friday and 12 basis points below a week earlier. The decline began last week as doubts about AI profits weighed on tech stocks and pushed investors toward Treasuries, lowering the 10-year Treasury yield to which mortgage rates are generally tied. The article notes that rates also move with inflation reports, jobs data and Fed meetings, and that inflation is still running hot. It adds that borrowers with a current rate around 7.70% or higher might consider refinancing if new rates are at least 0.5 to 0.75 percentage points lower.
Summary written by Upside AI from the original article. Read the source for full details.
Read the original on nerdwallet.com ↗
Keywords
mortgagesinterest ratesbondsFed
Open a keyword to see other news on the same topic.
Related tickers and likely impact
DXY
• NeutralRelevance: low
| Market | Currencies |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/16/2026 | 101.78 |
| Change that session | -0.20% |
XAU/USD
• NeutralRelevance: low
| Market | Gold |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/16/2026 | 4,165.63 |
| Change that session | -0.13% |
Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.
Related news
- Mortgage rates forecast: Will fixed deals fall by Christmas?
- Peter Schiff warns a ‘perfect storm of financial destruction’ worse than 2008 is brewing. Build wealth beyond your home
Peter Schiff warned in an October 15 post on X that mortgage lenders will lose far more than during the global financial crisis, blaming the Federal Reserve's prolonged low rates and government-backed mortgages. By his estimate, about $8.3 trillion of outstanding fixed-rate mortgages carry an average rate of 4.6%, creating mark-to-market losses of about $2 trillion at current rates of 7.5%, rising to $3 trillion if rates reach 8.5%. The article notes these are Schiff's estimates, and that a paper loss on a performing loan differs from a borrower default, since borrowers can keep paying while the loan's resale value falls when new mortgage rates are much higher. Freddie Mac's average 30-year fixed rate was 7.40% in its October 15 survey, up from 6.27% a year earlier.
- Treasuries Rallied as Tech Slid , and the Crowded Bet Against Bonds Felt It
Last week, the US 10-year Treasury yield fell about 17 basis points while the Nasdaq 100 dropped 5.5%, the largest same-week declines in both since the April 2025 tariff turmoil, according to Bloomberg. The move caught investors who had heavily bet on a deeper bond slump after 10-year yields climbed for seven months to their highest levels in more than two decades. A sell-off in AI-linked tech stocks triggered the rally, and trend-following commodity trading advisers exited their bearish Treasury futures positions. Traders had at one point priced about a 50% chance of a Fed rate hike in October and still expect one increase by year-end and another in 2027. Meanwhile, investment-grade companies, led by megacap technology, have sold about $1.7 trillion of bonds this year, up 29% from a year earlier.
- Treasuries Rallied as Tech Slid, and the Crowded Bet Against Bonds Felt It
U.S. 10-year Treasury yields fell about 17 basis points last week while the Nasdaq 100 dropped 5.5%, the largest same-week decline for both since the April 2025 tariff turmoil. The trigger was a sell-off in AI-linked tech stocks, and Treasuries showed signs of acting as a safe haven again. Commodity trading advisers, which had built heavily bearish Treasury futures positions, exited those bets and added to the rally. Traders had at one point priced about a 50% chance of a Federal Reserve rate hike in October, and still expect one increase by year-end and another in 2027. Meanwhile, investment-grade companies have sold about $1.7 trillion of bonds this year, up about 29% from a year earlier, as the AI build-out leans on bond markets.
- The 10-Year Treasury Is Above 5% for the First Time in Almost 20 Years. History Says This Is How the S&P 500 Index Will Perform Over the Next 12 Months.
The 10-year Treasury yield closed at 5.06% on October 15, its first close above 5% since July 19, 2007, a level viewed as a key anchor for pricing across the economy. The article compares this with 2007, when the S&P 500 fell 19% in the following 12 months and 11% over the next five years, after yields had risen 26% in the prior four years. Yields have also climbed 26% in the past year as the central bank raises rates to fight stubborn inflation. Key differences include a normal yield curve today versus an inverted one in 2007, stricter bank rules after Dodd-Frank, and a stock market dominated by profitable tech firms. The article argues investors should stay focused on high-quality companies for the long term.
- The 10 - Year Treasury Is Above 5 % for the First Time in Almost 20 Years . History Says This Is How the S & P 500 Index Will Perform Over the Next 12 Months .
On October 15, the 10-year Treasury yield stood at 5.06%, having crossed 5% about three weeks earlier for the first time since July 19, 2007. The article draws parallels to 2007, when the S&P 500 fell 19% over the next 12 months and 11% over the following five years, after the yield had risen 26% in the prior four years. Today the yield has risen 26% over the past 12 months as the Federal Reserve raises rates against stubborn inflation, and the S&P 500 sits near record highs. Key differences, however, include stricter bank rules since the Dodd-Frank Act of July 2010, a normal yield curve instead of an inverted one, and an index led by profitable tech giants. The article concludes that long-term investors should stay the course and invest early and often.
Related markets
Latest news
- One of this year's most important relationships in global financial markets is falling apart
One of the most important relationships in global markets has started to unravel over the past couple of weeks. Investors are scrambling to work out what it could mean for the economy and their portfolios.
- 2 High-Flying Dividend Stocks to Buy and Hold for a Decade
The article argues healthcare is rebounding in 2026, with Merck (MRK) shares up 39% and AbbVie (ABBV) up 24% year to date, versus about 12% for the S&P 500. Merck's second-quarter revenue rose 5% to $16.6 billion, beating estimates, with Keytruda sales of $8.4 billion, though Keytruda may lose patent exclusivity by 2028. AbbVie's second-quarter revenue grew 10.2% to nearly $17 billion and adjusted EPS rose 22.9% to $3.65, driven by Skyrizi and Rinvoq sales growing about 24%. AbbVie is on a streak of 54 consecutive annual dividend increases, including its time as part of Abbott Laboratories, qualifying it as a Dividend King. The author concludes both are attractive long-term holdings based on financial results, pipelines, and dividends.
- Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Price Lags Massive Earnings Growth—A Compelling Value Opportunity
Munro Partners' Munro Global Growth Fund posted a -12.6% net return in Q3 2026, trailing the MAET.ASX return of -13.8%, with long holdings the main detractors. The fund's letter named NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) its largest contributor, citing strong earnings growth and guidance for at least 70% revenue growth next fiscal year, versus consensus of 45%. Nvidia reported quarterly revenue of USD96.2bn in August, up 106% year on year, and management said growth would have been closer to 100% without supply constraints. As of October 12, 2026, NVDA closed at $214.13, down 4.23% over the past month and up 19.23% over the past year, with a $5.16 trillion market cap and a 52-week range of $164.27 to $243.37. The fund says demand for semiconductors and AI remains strong, creating a constructive setup as capex and political fears are now priced in.
- Better Artificial Intelligence Stock for 2026: C3.ai vs. SentinelOne
The article compares C3.ai, which sells enterprise AI applications, with SentinelOne, which provides AI-powered autonomous cybersecurity. In fiscal 2026 (ended April 30), C3.ai's revenue was nearly $250.3 million, down 35.7%, with a net loss of $470.4 million and negative free cash flow of $190.7 million. SentinelOne's fiscal 2026 (ended January 31) revenue reached $1.0 billion, up 21.9%, with a net loss of $450.7 million and free cash flow of about $75.9 million, though stock-based compensation equaled roughly 388.4% of operating cash flow. The article cites C3.ai's restructuring plan from February 2026 and long government sales cycles as risks, and SentinelOne's competition from larger vendors and reliance on Amazon hosting. It says SentinelOne trades at a lower valuation relative to sales, while C3.ai has no future earnings estimates.
- Salazar Resources to Begin Drilling the Yumi Gold-Silver Veins at Tarqui, with Porphyry Drilling Planned at Monja, Ecuador
Salazar Resources closed a $3,500,000 non-brokered private placement announced on October 8, 2026, and outlined its exploration plan. Phase 1 is about 1,500 metres of drilling in five holes at the Yumi gold-silver veins on its 100%-owned Tarqui project, with drilling expected to begin in late October 2026, and the veins have not previously been drilled. Selective rock-chip samples returned 105 g/t Au and 1,038 g/t Ag, and historical BHP holes intersected porphyry-style mineralization nearby, which the company interprets as lying on the periphery of a porphyry center not yet located. Phase 2 contemplates up to about 3,500 metres of drilling in four holes at the 100%-owned Monja copper-gold porphyry target from the first quarter of 2027, subject to surface access and permits. A soil survey of about 895 samples is also planned at Quimi, part of the Tarqui-Quimi project.
- Musk: AI’s Hard Part Is “Scaling Power”: 3 Stocks Uniquely Suited to Win This New Bottleneck Trade
Microsoft said it will scale its Maia chips to multi-gigawatt deployments starting next calendar year, and Elon Musk said scaling power is the hard part of AI. The article argues power is an input that chip and app companies cannot copy quickly, which favors Vistra (VST), Constellation Energy (CEG) and GE Vernova (GEV). Vistra has lost nearly a fifth of its value over the past year even though its adjusted EBITDA rose to $5.91 billion, while Constellation's normalized EPS is expected to reach $13.29 in fiscal 2027. GE Vernova's revenue is expected to reach $60.7 billion by fiscal 2028, and Jefferies has a $298 price target on Vistra. The article warns that all three stocks could move with the mood around AI, regardless of their results.
Get the briefing on Telegram or Zalo
Join the Upside Telegram channel or Zalo group for the Vietnam stocks and gold briefing at 8:00 and 19:00 (Vietnam time) on trading days, plus a weekly wrap on Saturday morning.