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Satoshi-era bitcoin faces a bigger quantum threat after Google’s new Willow breakthrough

Google says its Willow chip cut errors about 40-fold when preparing “magic states,” a resource needed for quantum calculations that could one day threaten bitcoin wallets, and the result was published in Science. The approach reached about 99.99% fidelity for states that passed inspection, but only about 8% of preparation attempts succeeded and scaling remains difficult. The article stresses this does not make a bitcoin attack 40 times cheaper, as one modeled attack would still need roughly 500,000 reliable magic states per second. Some of bitcoin's oldest holdings have had their public keys exposed since they were mined, giving an attacker more time; for example, 100.02 BTC untouched since July 2010 moved on 7 October, worth about $8.5 million.

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