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Original headline: Where do traders get interest rate expectations for central banks ?
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- It complicated but a little leg work can get you a better savings interest rate
The commentary says old-school online savings accounts now pay at most 5.5% after four rate rises this year, while many banks offer conditional bonus accounts whose base rates are tiny. RACQ's Bonus Saver pays 6.01% only if you deposit at least $100 and make no debit transactions each month, with a base rate of 0.01% and just 3.75% on balances above $99,999. Bank of Queensland's Future Saver can pay up to 6.05% for 14 to 35-year-olds, while ING's Savings Booster offers a 2.5% base rate and 3.15% boost rate with easier conditions. Many "sugar hit" offers last only three or four months, so the fine print matters. The article also notes the Australian government scheme covers only up to $250,000 per institution.
- Vietnam central bank urges rate cuts by commercial banks
The State Bank of Vietnam has instructed commercial banks to cut deposit interest rates by at least 0.5 percentage points, according to Dan Tri. Banks must lower listed annual rates for deposits of six months or longer by at least 0.5 points and cut lending rates for production, business and priority sectors by 1.5 to 2 points. They are also directed to steer credit toward science and technology, digital transformation, green development and education, while tightening lending in high-risk areas, particularly real estate. Banks must also mobilize resources, cut operating costs and share profits to help bring down overall interest rates.
- Vietnam central bank urges rate cuts by commercial banks - Xinhua
The State Bank of Vietnam has directed commercial banks to cut deposit rates by at least 0.5 percentage points for terms of six months or longer, and to lower lending rates for production, business and priority sectors by 1.5 to 2 percentage points, according to a Dan Tri report. The central bank also asked lenders to direct credit toward key economic projects and priority sectors such as science and technology, digital transformation, green development and education, while tightening lending in high-risk areas, particularly real estate. Banks were further instructed to mobilize resources, cut operating costs, share profits and take coordinated steps to bring down overall interest rates.
- JPMorgan Chase Raises Full-Year Net Interest Income Outlook Despite Missing Q3 Revenue Expectations
JPMorgan Chase (JPM) reported third-quarter earnings of $5.57 per share, below the $5.91 estimate and its first miss in almost three years. Revenue reached $50.9 billion, up 8% from a year earlier, and net income was $15.3 billion, though results included a $658 million loss on investment securities. Investment banking fees rose 14% year over year but fell 8% from the second quarter, as rate uncertainty, high energy prices and geopolitical tensions kept many deals on the sidelines. The bank raised its full-year net interest income forecast to about $106.2 billion from $105.5 billion and its expense forecast to about $108.6 billion from $107.5 billion. CFO Jeremy Barnum said the investment banking pipeline remains very strong, while JPM shares were up 0.3% in volatile early trading.
- ASML says it's getting order interest through 2030 as profit smashes expectations
ASML said some customers want to place orders for its critical chip-making tools for 2029 and 2030, as third-quarter profit beat expectations. CEO Christophe Fouquet said customers are raising short- and medium-term demand forecasts, driven mainly by AI-related investment. Supply planned for 2027 and 2028 will not fully meet demand, and the company is investigating ways to add capacity for 2028 beyond the previously forecast 30% increase. Third-quarter net sales of 11.66 billion euros slightly missed the 11.72 billion euros expected, while net profit of 4.96 billion euros beat 4.1 billion euros. ASML narrowed its full-year sales forecast to 44–45 billion euros ($49.3–50.4 billion) and expects fourth-quarter sales of 14.2–15.2 billion euros, while remaining restricted from selling some tools to China.
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Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) will report earnings this Wednesday after the market closes. Last quarter, revenue reached $60.8 billion, up 28% year on year and above analysts' expectations, though revenue guidance for next quarter slightly missed forecasts; daily active users hit 3.6 billion, up 3.4%. The market expects revenue growth of 23.6% this quarter, slowing from 26.2% a year earlier, and analysts have generally reconfirmed their estimates over the past 30 days. Over the last month, consumer internet stocks have gained 1.3% on average, while Meta is down 4.8%.
- An AI bust could come from places investors arent watching , an economist says
Concerns about an AI bubble are growing, and TS Lombard's Dario Perkins warns that investors may be overlooking other risks. Debt among smaller cloud providers, model developers and suppliers could reach $2 trillion by the end of 2027. Perkins does not see this as a systemic risk, but warns that earnings disappointments and canceled orders could ripple through the ecosystem, and that a chip glut could follow over-ordering. Much of the industry's revenue growth still comes from spending within the AI ecosystem rather than from businesses and consumers outside it. He also flags political backlash, noting that ordinary people dislike AI and nearby datacenters, and warns that one high-profile accident could turn AI toxic.
- Yen jumps after JGB auction draws big demand , euro finds relief
The yen rose 0.2% to 158.15 per dollar in Asian trading after a 20-year Japanese government bond auction drew bids of 5.84 times the amount sold, well above the 4.01 times at the previous auction, and the yield fell 6 basis points to 3.71%. A State Street strategist said the record demand suggests sidelined cash is returning and that JGBs are becoming a relative haven from political and fiscal volatility in Europe, particularly France. Anti-government protests in France prompted curfews in several cities, while Italy said it would send 500 troops after two days of unrest, and the euro rallied 0.2% to $1.1234. Elsewhere, bitcoin slipped 0.3% to $81,674.25 and ether edged down 0.2% to $2,393.21.
- Unemployment rate dips to 4 . 7 % - but vacancies hit five - year low
Vacancies fell by 21,000 to 691,000 in the three months to September, the biggest drop since the three months to March and the lowest since July to September 2014 outside the pandemic, while unemployment dipped in the three months to August. Payroll numbers were down 66,000 over the year to September. The ONS said the fall was mainly among smaller firms struggling with higher labour costs, following rises in employer national insurance, the minimum wage and workers' rights. A CBI survey found labour costs and regulations were making it harder to create jobs, and firms urged the Chancellor not to add to their burden in the October 28 Budget. ICAEW's Suren Thiru said the labour market is 'running on idle' and unemployment could climb above 5 per cent, while Shadow Chancellor Andrew Griffith blamed Labour's 'Jobs Tax' and red tape.
- CNBC Daily Open: Tech rebounds in the U.S., but Asia isn’t buying it yet
U.S. tech stocks rebounded as the Nasdaq Composite rose more than 1% on Monday, with Nvidia up 1.4% and Tesla up 3.8%. In Asia, however, tech shares fell on Tuesday, with South Korea's Kospi down over 4% and Japan's Nikkei 225 down 1.6%. Nvidia also unveiled plans to back four German AI startups as part of its nearly $10 billion European investment commitment. Jenny Lee of Granite Asia said Asian companies are reaching IPOs much sooner, often at four to five years old, while Jio Platforms' Indian IPO saw its anchor investor quota oversubscribed more than 30 times, aiming to raise up to 302 billion rupees ($3.2 billion). In Singapore, several agricultural stocks fell after Senior Minister K Shanmugam warned that companies would not escape responsibility for possible roles in the haze, noting seven firms had been questioned by the Singapore Exchange.
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NiSource has nearly doubled shareholders' money over the past five years, delivering a 97.6% total return, which raises the question of whether dividends can justify the current share price. The article highlights a new 20-year energy agreement with Microsoft, including customer-funded grid upgrades and long-term electric service for data centers, which may affect future capital needs and cash-flow visibility. Using a Dividend Discount Model with inputs of about $1.35 dividend per share, roughly 9.07% return on equity, a payout ratio slightly above 61%, and implied dividend growth of about 3.5%, the estimated intrinsic value sits meaningfully below the current share price of $41.95. The model still does not bridge that gap, suggesting income investors are paying a premium for a relatively steady payout with modest assumed growth.
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