Bitwise set a 10-year Bitcoin price target of $1.6 million for 2036, which implies a compound annual growth rate of about 34%, close to Bitcoin's 37% CAGR from 2017 to 2026. The article compares this with JPMorgan's 10% annualized forecast and the 17% growth rate of JPMorgan Asset Management's ultra-bullish scenario, which would take Bitcoin to only about $370,000 after a decade. The author considers 34% unlikely, though notes Bitcoin has repeatedly defied skeptics as it climbed from $1 to $100,000. At a 10% annual growth rate, the article says Bitcoin could take 25 years or longer to reach a seven-digit price.
Summary written by Upside AI from the original article. Read the source for full details.
Read the original on Yahoo Finance ↗
Keywords
Open a keyword to see other news on the same topic.
Related tickers and likely impact
BTC/USDT
▲ Likely positiveBitcoin
Relevance: low
| Market | Crypto |
|---|---|
| Exchange | Binance |
| Sector | Layer 1 |
| Market cap | $1.6T |
| Close on 10/31/2026 | 77,582.02 |
| Change that session | +0.28% |
Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.
Related news
- Boom or Bust, Bitcoin Wins the AI Trade, Bitwise CIO Says
Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan argues in an investor note that Bitcoin benefits across nearly every macro scenario, like the 'Choose Your Own Adventure' books where different paths lead to the same ending. If AI delivers 'superabundance,' scarce assets such as Bitcoin should gain; if the AI bubble bursts, he puts the odds of a government bailout and money-printing at 'nearly 100%,' an environment he says Bitcoin 'was built for.' In a muddle-through scenario of about 3% growth and 4% rates, Bitcoin keeps growing through ETF flows and institutional adoption. Hougan acknowledges risks: Bitcoin fell 50% in days during the 2020 COVID panic before rebounding roughly 20-fold, and a government crackdown or quantum computing could break the thesis. The note comes as BlackRock CEO Larry Fink warned that a halt to data center construction could tip the U.S. into recession.
- J.P. Morgan Just Made a Bold Prediction About Bitcoin. Should You Buy It?
In its 2027 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions report, published in October 2026, J.P. Morgan projects Bitcoin will return 10% annually over the next decade, versus 7.5% for large U.S. stocks, with volatility of 55% compared with 18%. It is the first time the report includes a Bitcoin return forecast, though it does not suggest a specific allocation. The article cites BlackRock's findings (a 2% Bitcoin allocation in a 60/40 portfolio accounted for 5% of total risk) and Morgan Stanley's view (at most 4% for the most aggressive portfolios), arguing that an allocation below 5% fits most investors. It also stresses that investors who struggle with large price swings may find Bitcoin hard to hold.
- Prediction: Here's What a $1,000 Investment in Bitcoin Will Be Worth in 2030
The article cites JPMorgan's base case that Bitcoin grows 10% a year, which would turn a $1,000 investment into about $1,500 and lift the price to nearly $120,000 by end-2030, compared with JPMorgan Asset Management's forecast annual returns of 7.5% for stocks, 6% for bonds and 5.5% for gold. A bull case assumes Bitcoin repeats its 37% compound annual growth from the previous decade, reaching about $280,000 and turning $1,000 into about $3,500. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong has predicted $300,000, possibly $400,000, by end-2030, citing higher institutional adoption and a clearer regulatory outlook. Michael Saylor of Strategy recently admitted Bitcoin might struggle to return to $100,000 next year. The article says the outcome depends on whether Bitcoin becomes a mainstream financial asset or remains highly speculative.
- JPMorgan Chase Says That Bitcoin Will Outperform Stocks, Bonds, and Gold Over the Next 10 Years. Here's Why It Might Be Right
A new report from the asset management arm of JPMorgan Chase projects that Bitcoin could return 10% annually over the next 10 years in its base case, versus 7.5% for U.S. large-cap stocks, 5.6% for broad U.S. bonds and 5.5% for gold. The projection rests on three drivers: Bitcoin's slowing supply growth relative to global money growth (65% weight), its inclusion in portfolios alongside scarce store-of-value assets such as gold (30%), and rising network activity. Under this model, the coin would be priced at about $211,130 by 2036, compared with $81,300 as of Oct. 26; the bear case calls for an 11.2% annual loss and the bull case a 16.6% annual gain. The bank expects volatility of 55% in all scenarios and describes Bitcoin as 'a speculative asset and a hedge against monetary easing.' The article says these forecasts are conservative relative to Bitcoin's 63% 10-year compound annual growth rate but appear reasonable.
- JPMorgan Predicts Bitcoin Will Outpace Stocks, Bonds, and Gold Over the Next Decade. Is Bitcoin Now a Screaming Buy?
JPMorgan Asset Management's 2027 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions report includes its first return forecast for Bitcoin, with a base case of 10% annualized over 10 to 15 years, a bear case of -11.2% and a bull case of about 16.5%. In the base case, $100 invested in Bitcoin would grow to $259 in 10 years, versus $206 for large-cap stocks; JPMorgan's forecasts for U.S. large caps, gold and REITs are 7.5%, 5.5% and 8.2% a year. The bank notes Bitcoin is not included as an allocation, assumes 55% annualized volatility versus 18% for U.S. large caps and 17.2% for gold, and sees unstable correlations with other assets. The author says a small position may suit investors with high risk tolerance and suggests limiting it to about 5% of a portfolio, noting the bear case leaves roughly 30% of the money after 10 years. As of Oct. 26, Bitcoin was trading about 36% below its all-time high set in October 2025.
- Can Bitcoin Double in Value During the Next Crypto Bull Market?
Bitcoin is down 7% for the year at about $84,000, and analysts have been lowering their price targets. Citigroup's 12-month target of $113,000, issued in early October, implies a 35% gain but remains below the all-time high of $126,000 from October 2025 and far under the $200,000 target cited earlier this year. JPMorgan predicts 10% annualized growth over the next decade, well below the 37% compound annual growth rate from August 2017 to August 2026. At 10% a year for three years, Bitcoin would reach only $112,000, so it would not double or set a new record, and the article stresses that future growth, not past performance, is what matters.
Related markets
Latest news
- This is the biggest threat to the AI-powered bull market
The article says blockbuster earnings growth has helped push the stock market higher in 2026, but that engine might stall in 2027.
- Bank stocks slump sharply over the past week; SHB, TCB, TPB, HDB and VPB account for more than half of the sector's trading volume
During the trading week of 26–30/10, 24 of 28 bank stocks fell and only 4 rose, with LPBank, Eximbank and SeABank posting the steepest declines. LPB closed down 10.64% at 36,100 VND, while EIB fell 9.80% and SSB fell 9.61%. Total matched volume across the 28 stocks reached nearly 803.6 million shares, concentrated in SHB (nearly 130 million), Techcombank (102.95 million) and TPBank (94.64 million). The top five by liquidity, SHB, TCB, TPB, HDB and VPB, accounted for about 54% of the total, while TCB fell 5.26%, VPB fell 4.77% and SHB fell 2.29%. The article says the selling pressure was broad, extending from large banks to smaller stocks.
- Standard Chartered Predicts the Stablecoin Market Will Hit $2 Trillion by 2030. These Are the 3 Stablecoins Investors Need to Know.
Total stablecoin value was just over $299.2 billion as of Oct. 28, and Standard Chartered estimates the market will reach $2 trillion by 2030. Tether (USDT) holds 60.8% of total value, but its reserves are slightly riskier: when gold and Bitcoin fell together, its excess-reserve cushion shrank to $4.1 billion. USDC has $71.2 billion in circulation, mostly held in a money market fund, and the article says it is likely the safest stablecoin for most investors. Open USD, launched Sept. 30, has $835 million in circulation and is distributed through a syndicate in which distribution partners share reserve income.
- One of the Fastest-Growing Segments of the Crypto Market Involves Artificial Intelligence. Here's the 1 Cryptocurrency I'm Buying Now.
The author sees Solana (SOL) as the best current choice for exposure to growth from AI agents in crypto, and plans to add to an existing position despite earlier skepticism. Solana settled 67.3 million (34.5%) of the 195.2 million total payments initiated by AI agents as of Oct. 28, helped by the Alpenglow upgrade, which finalizes transactions within 150 milliseconds and usually for less than a penny. Its agent registry also gives agents on-chain identities and reputation records. Solana's chain fees rose 53% quarter over quarter to $62.9 million in Q3 2026, and base fees on those 67.3 million payments total about $34,174, against a market cap of $60.3 billion. The author says the agent economy is still small but could grow as agents become more widespread.
- VZ: Russia arrests Leningrad base commander, exposing a shocking scandal - New weapons emerge, Sumy campaign begins
According to VZ, two officers linked to the Baltic Fleet, Navy Captain Alexei Suglobov, commander of the Leningrad Naval Base, and Lieutenant Colonel Alexei Ionov, were arrested on bribery charges, with Suglobov caught receiving 1.5 million rubles. Investigators allege the pair took money from businessmen in exchange for protection and for unlawfully leasing military land to companies, and the two suspects could face up to 15 years in prison. The article also says loitering munitions hit Barvenkovo for the first time after flying more than 80 km, while the Filin cruise missile is described as reaching 800 km/h with a 1,200 km range. In Sumy, according to VZ, Russian forces advanced from Mogritsa, cut supply routes to Ukrainian units in Grunovka and Velikaya Rybitsa, and shortened the distance to the city's outskirts to 13 km. Experts cited by VZ say the encirclement of Sumy has effectively begun.
- DeepSeek developing AI agent requiring less human input: Report
Chinese AI company DeepSeek has published a paper from its DeepSeek Harness team describing a system that would make AI coding assistants more autonomous, so they can handle multiple tasks with less human input. The paper argues that managing several agents is limited by human attention, noting that a person can oversee only three to five active AI agent sessions at once. The proposed system would distribute tasks among agents and coordinate their work, leaving humans free to review results and make decisions. The proposal comes amid intense competition among AI developers, including US companies Anthropic and OpenAI. The article also recalls that DeepSeek led a crypto trading experiment, being the only AI model to generate a positive unrealized return of 9.1%.
Get the briefing on Telegram or Zalo
Join the Upside Telegram channel or Zalo group for the Vietnam stocks and gold briefing at 8:00 and 19:00 (Vietnam time) on trading days, plus a weekly wrap on Saturday morning.