The author notes Intel was out of favor two years ago, posting an $18.8 billion net loss for 2024 while trailing Nvidia in AI and Taiwan's foundries in manufacturing. In 2025, the U.S. government, Nvidia and SoftBank invested $8.9 billion, $5 billion and $2 billion in Intel common stock. Intel began high-volume manufacturing of Panther Lake on 18A in July, but its $20 billion stock offering in August at $95 a share dilutes existing shareholders. The author is positive, expecting shares to trade between $110 and $130 by end-2027 if the Panther Lake ramp goes to plan, versus the low $90s today, and roughly the high $60s to low $80s if the ramp stumbles.
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