News about Nasdaq

U.S. 10-year Treasury yields fell about 17 basis points last week while the Nasdaq 100 dropped 5.5%, the largest same-week decline for both since the April 2025 tariff turmoil. The trigger was a sell-off in AI-linked tech stocks, and Treasuries showed signs of acting as a safe haven again. Commodity trading advisers, which had built heavily bearish Treasury futures positions, exited those bets and added to the rally. Traders had at one point priced about a 50% chance of a Federal Reserve rate hike in October, and still expect one increase by year-end and another in 2027. Meanwhile, investment-grade companies have sold about $1.7 trillion of bonds this year, up about 29% from a year earlier, as the AI build-out leans on bond markets.

The Nasdaq Composite (QQQ ETF) is 6.96% below its 52-week high after falling 5.52% last week, close to the 10% threshold for a technical correction. The article says high oil prices, sustained by Iran's control of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, keep September CPI and PPI rising, and that Iran wants higher oil prices to hurt the Republican Party before the midterm elections, so the correction in beaten-down stocks may continue. CoreWeave (CRWV) lost 25.21% last week, closing just 3% above its yearly low, while bears holding a 17% short float bet its $50 billion debt is unsustainable. Nebius (NBIS) fell 25% and Twilio (TWLO) dropped 15.6%, while Autodesk (ADSK), Salesforce (CRM) and Adobe (ADBE) drew buying. The article suggests volatility may ease after the midterms.

The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell 11.41% last week and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 4.48%, as investors weighed debt-funded AI infrastructure spending amid expectations that rates could stay high for longer after September inflation exceeded forecasts. CoreWeave (CRWV) lost about a quarter of its market value during the week, Oracle shares fell 9.31%, and the cost of default protection on debt issued by AI-related companies rose. Meta (META) and Tesla (TSLA) report after the US close on Wednesday, SpaceX (SPCX) on Tuesday, and Netflix (NFLX) is also on the calendar, with investors focusing on investment spending and business performance. SpaceX recently agreed to acquire cellular spectrum licences from Grain Management for about $8 billion in cash.

Nine issuers, including Broadcom, Verizon and UnitedHealth, have objected to having their shares traded on OKXICE's planned tokenized-stock platform, according to an October 15 notice. The venue would offer around-the-clock trading under the SEC's temporary Innovation Exemption, with tokens backed one-for-one by underlying shares. Nasdaq has said it will opt out of the framework because the venue does not display best prices in real time or report to the consolidated tape. TD Securities analysts found that reliance on temporary exemptive relief rather than permanent rules has made issuers and institutions reluctant to invest in the trading infrastructure.

Peter Berezin, Chief Global Macro Strategist at BCA Research, says AI can remain transformative but could trigger a significant market correction if productivity gains fail to keep pace with investment. He argues the core risk is financial and about timing, as returns may arrive too slowly to justify current capital spending, with the five largest hyperscalers expected to spend more than $1 trillion next year. Berezin believes the equity bull market is mature rather than over, expecting consolidation and volatility before a more material downturn; a US recession in 2027 looks unlikely, but 2028 poses a bigger risk, potentially with a Nasdaq drawdown of around 50%. He sees China unlikely to offset a US slowdown and remains neutral on equities and bonds in the near term.

BCA Research's Peter Berezin sees AI as transformative but warns of a major market correction if productivity gains lag investment, with the core risk being financial and timing-related. The five largest hyperscalers are expected to spend over $1 trillion next year, while the industry may need about $10 trillion in annual revenue to justify the outlay. He says the equity bull market is mature rather than over, with a possible Nasdaq drawdown of around 50% in 2028, a bigger risk than 2027. He doubts China can offset a US slowdown and is neutral on equities and bonds near term, but expects to become more constructive on US duration, as real yields near 3% already offer attractive carry. He favors industrial metals over oil long term and remains bullish on gold.

Peter Berezin of BCA Research says AI can remain transformative but could trigger a significant market correction if productivity gains fail to keep pace with investment. The core risk is financial and about timing, as returns from AI adoption may arrive too slowly to justify current capex. The five largest hyperscalers are expected to spend over $1 trillion next year, and the broader AI industry could need roughly $10 trillion in annual revenue to monetize projected investment, based on his assumptions. He views the equity bull market as mature rather than over, expecting consolidation before a bigger downturn, with 2028 posing a greater risk and a possible Nasdaq drawdown of around 50%. He remains neutral on equities and bonds near term, while real yields near 3% already offer attractive carry.

Peter Berezin, Chief Global Macro Strategist at BCA Research, argues AI remains transformative but the main risk is financial and about timing, as returns may arrive too slowly to justify current capital spending. The five largest hyperscalers are expected to spend over $1 trillion next year, while the industry may need roughly $10 trillion in annual revenue to monetise the investment, based on his assumptions. He warns that chipmakers booking sales upfront while hyperscalers capitalise and depreciate their spending could obscure mounting pressure on returns. Berezin sees the equity bull market as mature rather than over, expecting consolidation before a bigger risk in 2028, when the Nasdaq could fall around 50%, while a 2027 US recession looks unlikely. He doubts China can offset a US slowdown, stays neutral on equities and bonds near term, and remains structurally bullish on gold.