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Sullivan: What the 2026 midterms could mean for energy investors

The author expects only limited near-term moves in energy stocks after the midterm elections, with investment implications mainly over the longer term. Even if Democrats win one or both chambers of Congress, the change is unlikely to meaningfully alter policy, though S&P Global says it could bring tougher oversight of agency decisions and affect tax incentives for long-term energy investments. At the state level, Gina Hinojosa in Texas supports a moratorium on new data center builds, Amy Acton in Ohio backs a conditional moratorium, and Vivek Ramaswamy calls for conditions on new construction. Bank of America says Georgia, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania and Texas matter most for utility stocks, with Texas the most consequential after state environmental regulators halted data center permits. Power demand would likely stay at current levels even if some large projects are stalled or stopped, and U.S. oil production is at a record high.

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