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CNBC's Morning Squawk said this is the last edition written by its current author after 16 months. Stocks closed higher yesterday, but tech shares kept falling as AI cost concerns deepened: Nvidia, Advanced Micro Devices and Intel declined, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped more than 500 points as money rotated into blue-chip names such as Walmart and Nike. Tesla unveiled its next-generation Roadster after years of delays, expected to enter production in 2028 with no price set, and reopened reservations at $50,000. Producer prices posted their largest monthly and annual gains since 2022, driven by energy costs tied to the Iran war, while Apple and Meta will let developers run Meta's Muse Spark model locally on Mac, and Nike is building a new global campus in Bengaluru, India.
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U.S. stocks fell sharply in the prior session, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite each down more than 1% on worries about AI overspending, and CoreWeave dropping more than 15%. Bank of America lost almost 5% after revenue missed expectations, while Berkshire Hathaway's $330 million investment in Bending Spoons sent that company's shares up 41%. The consumer price index came in hotter than expected, marking the 66th straight annual reading above the 2% inflation target, largely driven by surging energy prices. Diesel prices remain elevated ahead of the midterm elections, and Netflix plans to cut around 6% of its workforce, about 1,000 employees.
- Our top 10 things to watch in the stock market Friday
This Investing Club newsletter covers 10 market items, starting with the Nasdaq, which fell 1.4% intraday amid an AI sell-off before closing up 0.08%. Some Anthropic investors now expect a listing at a valuation near $1.5 trillion, down from $2 trillion, over concerns about slowing revenue growth, according to Reuters, with the share sale still planned for November. CoreWeave, which fell 15.5% Wednesday, was still down over 5% premarket despite Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang dismissing concerns about its cost of capital and several analysts defending it. Tesla shares rose over 3% this morning after it unveiled a new Roadster with production targeted for 2028, while Netflix fell over 3% premarket after Chief Content Officer Bela Bajaria announced her departure. Other items include UBS raising its Cardinal Health target to $295, Morgan Stanley cutting its Boeing target to $225, and Bank of America estimating PepsiCo could lose $500 million in sales as KFC switches to Coca-Cola.
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- Stocks rebound into key tech earnings: Three things to know in Bitcoin this week
Bitcoin started the week near $82,000 as stock markets attempted a tentative rebound after last week's tech-led selloff that began in South Korea, where KOSPI gained about 1.8% on Monday. Analysts expect bitcoin to retest $80,000 support after a weekly close below key local support, when the Coinbase Premium Index hit -0.14, its lowest level since late June. About 15% of S&P 500 companies report third-quarter earnings this week, including SpaceX, Tesla and Meta. Markets see 85% odds that the Federal Reserve keeps rates in the 3.75%-4.00% range at its October 28 meeting, and 75% odds of one 25-basis-point hike by year-end after two further hikes were priced out. Persistent inflation remains a concern, with September CPI at 3.7% year-on-year and PPI up 1.7% month-on-month, keeping tighter policy in view.
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- Roblox Is Now Down 38% in 2026: Is RBLX Stock Dead Money or Poised for a Comeback?
Roblox stock is down 38% year to date to $50.41, with a late-September court ruling letting a Los Angeles County child exploitation lawsuit proceed and a Jefferies downgrade to Underperform adding pressure. Jefferies argued the rally after the Q2 report priced in too much bookings growth, which rose only 8% to $1.6 billion in Q2 even as daily active users grew 10% to 123 million. Safety changes, including a mandatory age check, had already led Roblox to cut its full-year revenue growth forecast to 20% to 25% earlier this year. For Q3 2026, Roblox forecasts a year-over-year bookings decline of 14% to 18%. Take-Two (down 20%) and GameStop (up 31%) year to date suggest the pressure is specific to Roblox, and the article frames the key test as whether bookings stabilize while user growth continues.
- Super Micro (SMCI) Won Over $60 Billion in Orders, Is the Discount Deserved?
A contractor linked to Super Micro Computer (SMCI) pleaded guilty earlier this month to helping ship servers with advanced Nvidia chips to China, a case prosecutors say involved billions of dollars of U.S. AI technology, though the company says it was not named as a defendant and its operations are unaffected. Sales for the fiscal year ended June reached $39.1 billion, up from $22.0 billion, with CEO Charles Liang citing more than $60 billion in new orders, several hundred added enterprise customers, and a record backlog. Management guides to $65.0 billion to $72.0 billion in fiscal 2027 sales, and sales have grown about 61.5% a year over five years. Gross margin was 10.8% for the full year but rose to 17.5% in the June quarter, with net income of $1,178 million, while the trailing 12-month operating margin was 7.09%. The article notes the stock trades at a much lower multiple of expected earnings than the sector, and that one strong quarter does not yet prove a new margin level.
- Is Nvidia Stock Really Trading for Just 8 Times 2030 Earnings?
Nvidia is the market's most valuable company, with a market cap above $5 trillion. It trades at 27 times adjusted trailing earnings, but only about 8 times analysts' estimate for fiscal 2030 earnings, a figure the author stresses is a moving target. Revenue growth accelerated from 56% in Q2 FY 2026 to 106% in Q2 FY 2027, though guidance points to a slight slowdown in the current quarter. The stock trades at 13 times next year's earnings, and the board recently authorized a record $150 billion in share repurchases. The author also acknowledges risks such as slower growth or contracting net margins.
- California billionaire tax could backfire, Stanford study says
Stanford economists Benjamin Jaros and Joshua Rauh argue in an NBER working paper that California's proposed one-time 5% tax on billionaire wealth could raise far less than projected and ultimately reduce state revenue. Seven billionaires, including Peter Thiel, Larry Page and Sergey Brin, have publicly left the state, removing about $540 billion, or 30%, of California's billionaire wealth from potential taxation. The authors estimate the measure could generate only about $30 billion, versus the $100 billion projected by proponents, while losing $1 billion to $3.5 billion a year in income tax revenue could leave the state about $39 billion worse off in present-value terms if those losses persist. The measure, Proposition 40, goes to voters next month, and a Citrin-Politico poll found 46% of likely voters in favor and 43% opposed. Supporters, including Nobel laureates Daron Acemoglu and Joseph Stiglitz, argue the tax will fund health care and that California has attracted more venture funding since the proposal was announced.
- US Orders Civilian Agencies to Rip DeepSeek Out of Government Systems
The U.S. Department of Homeland Security on Monday ordered civilian federal agencies to remove DeepSeek products and third-party services built on the model from their IT systems, and to stop buying them. The notice warns that using DeepSeek may transfer sensitive data to China and could produce intelligence on U.S. persons and agencies. The Commerce Department, the Navy, and the states of New York, Tennessee and Virginia had already restricted DeepSeek. The FCC votes on October 29 on barring Chinese labs from testing electronics for U.S. use.
- NVIDIA Stock And 2 Other Undervalued Stocks To Own
Rising interest rates have pushed down bond prices, with 10-year U.S. Treasuries recording one of their steepest multi-year declines since the 18th century. The article highlights three U.S. stocks that a Simply Wall St cash flow screen considers attractively priced relative to their future cash flow potential: NVIDIA, Wells Fargo and J.B. Hunt Transport Services. NVIDIA generated about US$275.4b from Compute & Networking and US$27.6b from Graphics, with a market cap of US$5,170.6b, and the piece notes that an open-source or cheaper alternative to its CUDA platform could weaken its moat. Wells Fargo, with a market cap of US$251.7b, grew average loans 12% and average deposits 10% year over year in 2Q26 after the removal of its asset cap, while J.B. Hunt, with a market cap of US$21.3b and US$13.3b in revenue, recorded record intermodal volume of over 578,000 loads in Q2 2026.
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