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China economy accelerated in the July - September quarter on robust exports

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  • China economy accelerated in the July - September quarter on robust exports

    China said its economy grew 4.5% from a year earlier in the July-September quarter, faster than the 4.3% pace in the previous quarter, driven by robust exports. Domestic demand remained weak, as a years-long property downturn has squeezed household wealth and driven up savings. Exports grew 36% last month, and the trade surplus reached $938 billion from January to September, on track to surpass last year's record $1.2 trillion. The European Union, where the deficit with China exceeds $1.1 billion a day, is pressing Beijing to rebalance trade, as exports to the EU rose 16% in the first nine months of the year. Analysts warn that this export-reliant growth model has created limited job gains, while the yuan is accused of being undervalued.

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  • China economy accelerated in the July - September quarter on robust exports

    China's economy grew 4.5% in the July–September quarter from a year earlier, faster than the 4.3% pace in April–June, driven by strong exports and moving it closer to the 4.5%–5% annual target. Domestic demand remains weak, weighed down by a prolonged property slump, and economists warn the headline growth figure increasingly masks disparities across industries, regions and households. Exports rose 36% last month, and the trade surplus reached $938 billion from January to September, putting China on track to surpass last year's record $1.2 trillion. The EU, which runs a trade deficit with China of more than $1.1 billion a day, is pressing for rebalancing after the two sides agreed to roughly halve Chinese hybrid vehicle imports. Some partners argue an undervalued yuan has added to the surplus, a claim China's central bank rejects.

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  • China economic growth picks up as exports boom

    China's third-quarter economic growth came in at 4.5%, rebounding from three-year lows and beating forecasts, as a surge in exports offset consumers' tight spending. Analysts warn that growing reliance on external drivers is deepening structural imbalances, while the property market remains in a downturn that has eroded household wealth over the past five years. Weak domestic demand has pushed firms such as Zhang Chao's motorbike headlight maker to shift toward exports, while fierce price wars are forcing companies to cut costs, including payroll. Trade surpluses with Germany and France each jumped more than 200% year-on-year in September, prompting the EU to agree to limit hybrid car exports and plan further curbs. The 5.2% unemployment rate may be flattered by the gig economy, where anyone working even one hour a week counts as employed; Societe Generale economist Michelle Lam warns that without a shift toward supporting household incomes, China risks a prolonged period of low inflation and sub-par growth.

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    China's GDP grew 4.5% year on year in the third quarter of 2026, beating the 4.4% forecast and rebounding from 4.3% in the second quarter, a three-year low. Growth averaged 4.6% over the first nine months, in line with Beijing's 4.5%–5% target for the year, driven by tech exports and a record monthly trade surplus of US$133.5 billion. However, retail sales rose only 1.1% in September, urban fixed-asset investment fell 7.2% and property development investment slumped 20.6% in the first nine months. Producer prices rose 5% mainly on fuel costs, while consumer inflation stayed below 1%, pointing to weak domestic demand. Economists said the prolonged housing crisis and supply-demand imbalance may limit spillovers, and the strong data could reduce pressure on Beijing to deploy needed stimulus.

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    China's economy grew 4.5% in the third quarter, beating forecasts, as strong exports offset weak consumer spending and a prolonged property downturn. Analysts expect Beijing to reach its 2026 target of 4.5%-5.0% without additional stimulus, but warn that growing reliance on external drivers is deepening structural imbalances. Retail sales again lagged industrial output, fixed-asset investment fell 7.2% in January-September, and the job market has weakened. The yuan firmed to its strongest level since July 2022 on Monday.

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