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Dario Amodei Predicted at Davos in January 2025 That AI Could Surpass Humans "at Almost Everything" Within 2 to 3 Years. As Anthropic Prepares for Its $2 Trillion IPO, Is That Timeline Still on Track?

Anthropic has publicly filed its S-1 and is poised to raise more than $100 billion in its upcoming IPO, with rumors pointing to a valuation of around $2 trillion. The article recalls Dario Amodei's January 2025 claim that within two to three years AI could surpass humans at virtually all tasks, and notes AI is now strong at digital work like coding and web research but still lags humans in physical tasks. It argues the 4.2% U.S. unemployment rate is hard to square with that claim, since humans still need to direct AI. Anthropic's Q2 revenue of $11.6 billion, growing more than 10x year over year, would need to keep rising and expand beyond software to support a $2 trillion valuation. The author says that day has not yet come, though the broader prediction may hold in essence.

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