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Global inflation debate puts BOJ rate - hike pace in spotlight

The Bank of Japan may face renewed pressure to speed up interest rate hikes before its October 29-30 policy review, after global inflation concerns from the Iran war and AI-driven demand dominated the IMF meetings in Bangkok. Sources say many BOJ officials prefer to hold rates steady in October after raising them in September, but analysts expect the bank to drop hawkish signals that leave room for a December hike. The policy rate stands at 1.25%, leaving real borrowing costs negative while inflation hovers near the 2% target, and a weak yen is raising import costs. U.S. Treasury Undersecretary Erin Browne urged Japan to keep tightening to prevent a disorderly yen decline, and BOJ board member Junko Koeda warned against being overly cautious given upside inflation risks.

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