Chipotle shares have fallen 18% in 2026 as of Oct. 14 and sit 56% below their June 2024 record, and the article notes that fourth-quarter stock performance this decade has been mixed, with declines in 2021, 2022, 2024 and 2025 but gains of 12% in 2020 and 25% in 2023. Pressures include a rare 1.7% decline in same-store sales in 2025, a recovery to 0.5% in Q1 and 2.2% in Q2 this year, and a unit-level operating margin of 25.2%, down 220 basis points amid labor and food inflation. Valuation has become more attractive, with a P/E ratio of 28.2 near a 10-year low, and the company is still expanding with 4,186 company-owned stores and 350 to 370 net new openings planned this year. However, consensus expects EPS to grow just 8.6% a year from 2025 to 2028, versus 21.2% a year over the previous three years, and the article says investors should temper their expectations.
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