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- Microsoft Q1 earnings: Why capex is the big number 'worth watching'
Microsoft's Azure grew 48%, above its guidance of 44-45%. The commercial backlog stayed flat quarter over quarter but rose about 73% to roughly $677 billion. Daniel said Microsoft has not raised debt or diluted shareholders to fund its buildout, unlike other hyperscalers that have kept borrowing and issuing equity. Capex came in somewhat below expectations; he attributed this to supply chain constraints, data center energization and lease timing, and said one quarter is too early to draw conclusions, so upcoming guidance will be important.
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Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG) shares fell 7% on Wednesday after third-quarter EPS of $2.12 missed the analyst consensus of $3.02 by $0.90. Revenue rose 25% to $127.6 billion, narrowly beating estimates of $127.22 billion, while Google Cloud revenue surged 103% to $30.7 billion and its operating income climbed from $3.6 billion to $11.1 billion. Consolidated operating income rose 30% to $40.6 billion, but an $8.7 billion net loss on equity securities reduced net income by $6.7 billion, or $0.55 per diluted share after tax. Capital expenditures were $51.4 billion in the quarter, up from $24.0 billion a year earlier, bringing year-to-date spending to $132.0 billion, and free cash flow turned negative at $9.1 billion. The article says investors are looking for clearer evidence that heavy AI infrastructure spending can generate sustainable cash flow and profit growth.
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- Bessent says 'not necessarily' a mistake if the Fed hikes again
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent spoke to CNBC after the Federal Reserve's latest policy decision, just days before an election that will determine the balance of power in Washington. The Fed kept interest rates unchanged, as the market had widely expected, after pausing its rate hikes. Bessent said it would be 'not necessarily' a mistake if the Fed needed to raise rates at its December meeting. Fed funds futures traders put the probability of a December rate hike at more than 83%. Bessent is a key confidant of President Donald Trump, whose Republican Party is counting down to next week's midterm elections, and the outcome of several key races could determine whether the GOP retains total control in Washington.
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