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Is 50% Crash Risk For IonQ Stock Real?

IonQ stock fell at least 50% within the year in four of the last five calendar years, and is down 43.6% over the past year while the S&P 500 gained 15.1%. The company just priced a $2.0 billion share sale, which its CEO said will speed up commercialization of its full-stack quantum platform. Upcoming catalysts include the first revenue outlook combining IonQ with chipmaker SkyWater (acquired July 31, 2026), commissioning of 256-qubit customer systems starting in the first half of 2027, and the all-stock Elisity deal worth up to $1.3 billion, or about 11% of IonQ's $11.5 billion market value. The article notes shares remain 56.6% below their May 29, 2026 close of $72.07 after a 57.7% fall ending March 30, 2026.

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