News about XAUUSD

Motilal Oswal analyst Manav Modi says gold is seeing a range-bound bias, having fallen sharply from a September high of around Rs 163,000–165,000 and now consolidating near Rs 148,000. Immediate support is at Rs 147,500, then Rs 146,000–145,500, while resistance sits at Rs 148,800–149,000 and then Rs 150,000–150,500. Gold trades near $4,175 with a resilient tone, supported by ETF inflows of around 187 tonnes in August and September, Chinese demand, and central-bank buying estimated at 250–300 tonnes in Q3, though elevated real yields remain the main near-term headwind. Investors are watching the upcoming Fed meeting and PCE inflation data, as cautious comments from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh have cut expectations for an October hike below 20%.

At the midday update on 19/10, domestic gold prices fell across the board by 500–800 thousand VND per tael. Early on 19/10, gold bars at SJC, PNJ, DOJI and Bao Tin Manh Hai were quoted at 140.6–143.6 million VND per tael, while Bao Tin Minh Chau was at 138.6–143.6 million. From 16/10, gold businesses must use non-cash payment for buy and sell transactions of 5 million VND or more per day under Decree 390/2026/NĐ-CP. Internationally, gold traded around 4,160–4,180 USD per ounce as investors watched U.S. economic data and the Fed's rate outlook, and the market still leans toward the Fed holding rates at its October 27–28 meeting. S&P Global's preliminary October composite PMI is being watched as a signal of inflation pressure.

Spot gold rose 0.2% to $4,173.59 an ounce on Monday after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s remarks were read as supporting a hold at next week’s meeting. Traders cut the implied chance of a rate hike to below 20%, reversing the revived hike bets that followed a stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation reading. Gold has stayed above $4,000 an ounce since August, but it is down about a fifth since the U.S.-Iran conflict erupted in late February. ANZ sees gold’s upside capped in the short term, though it expects prices to top $5,000 an ounce in 2027, supported by Chinese investors and central-bank diversification.

According to a Motilal Oswal Financial Services report, gold prices have risen nearly 10% so far in 2026, though prices swung sharply through the first quarter. Geopolitical tensions, slowing growth and uncertainty over US interest rates support gold's safe-haven appeal, while a stronger dollar and elevated bond yields have caused intermittent pressure. In India, high prices have subdued price-sensitive jewellery demand and pushed domestic prices to a discount, while China has seen stronger investment-led buying and Indian investors are gradually shifting toward ETFs. Citing World Gold Council data, central banks bought around 860-870 tonnes in 2025, a slower pace than in previous years, and global ETF demand has recovered. The report expects gold to trade within a broad range in the near term, with a constructive medium- to long-term outlook and a 'buy on dips' stance for investors with medium- to long-term horizons.

Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi says its proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days remains on the table, even as Tehran reviews a US response. Iran made the offer in mid-September after an interim ceasefire collapsed, conditioning it on lifting the US blockade of its ports and oil sanctions and ending hostilities on all regional fronts; if accepted, the strait could reopen within six days. The main sticking point is Iran's nuclear program, which US Vice President JD Vance says must see a 'meaningful' cut in uranium enrichment capacity. Iran's Revolutionary Guards navy claims two oil tankers caught fire after hitting naval mines in the strait, a report IRNA carried but that has not been independently confirmed. Attacks around the waterway have surged over the past two weeks, adding to the energy price and inflation pressures caused by the disruption.