According to US prediction exchange Kalshi, markets price a 92% probability that the Federal Reserve holds its target rate at 3.75%-4% at the Oct. 28 meeting. The most likely outcome for the Dec. 9 meeting is a target range one step above the current level, with a 67.9% probability. The federal funds target range was 3.75%-4% as of Oct. 24, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis's FRED economic database. These are market prices showing the distribution of priced outcomes, not a forecast, survey, or central bank commitment. Kalshi is a US exchange regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
Summary written by Upside AI from the original article. Read the source for full details.
Original headline: Kalshi prices 92 % chance Fed holds rates at October meeting
Read the original on econotimes.com ↗
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Related tickers and likely impact
DXY
• NeutralRelevance: low
| Market | Currencies |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/23/2026 | 101.74 |
| Change that session | +0.11% |
XAU/USD
• NeutralRelevance: low
| Market | Gold |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/23/2026 | 3,995.78 |
| Change that session | -0.72% |
Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.
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