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SPY
• NeutralSPDR S&P 500 ETF
Relevance: low
| Market | US stocks |
|---|---|
| Sector | ETF |
| Close on 10/16/2026 | 763.31 |
| Change that session | -1.10% |
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According to The Kobeissi Letter, citing US Bureau of Labor Statistics data, the number of eating and drinking establishments in New York State fell in the first quarter of 2026 by more than the worst quarterly drop during the 2020 Covid-19 pandemic. It has declined year-on-year for four consecutive quarters, the longest such streak since 2021. The Manhattan Chamber of Commerce cited sharp cost increases last year: employee health insurance rose 12.9%, business insurance premiums rose 7%, and utilities rose 8.5%. Higher wages, minimum-wage requirements and borrowing costs further squeeze cash flow, especially for independent and smaller restaurants. Separately, the New York–Northern New Jersey–Long Island area had an estimated 491 restaurant closures in the first half of 2026, the most nationally, including 117 in New York City, though closure counts and net establishment counts measure different things.
- No on Amendment 87
In this opinion piece, Grand Junction Area Chamber of Commerce CEO Candace Carnahan urges Colorado voters to reject Amendment 87, which would replace the state's 4.4% flat income tax with six brackets reaching 8.4% on taxable income above $1 million. She argues the tax would hit owners of pass-through businesses on earnings kept in their companies, estimating about $211 million in additional statewide taxes on undistributed pass-through income in 2027 alone. Citing a Common Sense Institute projection, she says Colorado could lose 295 high-bracket firms employing about 42,000 people within 10 years, and more than 590 firms with roughly 84,000 workers within 20 years. She also notes the brackets are not adjusted for inflation, and says the state should first show that existing spending delivers results.
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Latest news
- Iran warns US and Israel
Iran's Armed Forces Chief of Staff, Major General Ali Abdollahi, warned on October 18 that the US and Israel would face a far harsher response if they continue actions Tehran considers provocative. He said Tehran is awaiting their next moves and that Iran's armed forces remain ready for any scenario. Tehran accuses Washington and Tel Aviv of trying to weaken its government, and tensions have risen since earlier conflicts, including a 12-day war. Iran says it will not back down under external pressure.
- Is TC Energy (TRP) a Good or Bad Investment at Today's Multiple?
TC Energy trades at 21.19 times next year's expected earnings, closing at $61.74 on October 16 after a 1.5% return over 6 months, versus 10.5% for the Insider Monkey Billionaire Index and 9.3% for the State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust. The company operates natural gas transmission pipelines across Canada, the United States and Mexico, plus power generation, with a 44.25% operating margin, and latest-quarter earnings rose 18.00% on revenue up 5.70%. The article flags risks including debt at 170.37% of equity, the loss of crude oil pipelines to South Bow in 2024, and volumes that depend on North American gas demand from power and LNG exports. A 4.01% yield is cited as income while the market decides whether the stable business justifies the multiple relative to its growth.
- Should You Buy This Trump AI Stock Ahead of Earnings?
Microsoft (MSFT) reports quarterly results on October 28 and ranks eighth in Trump's latest stock portfolio, after Trump bought the stock five times in August. Bulls point to Azure growth of 43% last quarter, with management expecting about 45% in the current quarter, and to demand that exceeds available computing capacity. Bears cite rising capital spending that Deutsche Bank says could push free cash flow close to breakeven in fiscal 2027, about two-thirds of spending going to short-lived equipment such as chips, and OpenAI making up about 45% of the commercial backlog in the December quarter. The stock trades at 26.75 times forward earnings, a 27% premium to the sector median of 21.01 but 12% below its own five-year average of 30.47, with a PEG ratio of 1.70 versus a sector median of 1.14. The article concludes that investors pay more than for the average tech stock but less than they usually pay for Microsoft.
- What Is Williams' (WMB) Economic Moat, and Is It Steel or Permits?
Williams (WMB) closed at $71.28 on October 16, with a 0.5% return over 6 months, compared with 10.5% for the Insider Monkey Billionaire Index and 9.3% for the State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust. The article argues its main advantage is the Transco pipeline, which runs from the Gulf Coast up the eastern seaboard, where several attempts to build new pipe have been abandoned after failing to win approvals. A 39.54% operating margin and 21.50% return on equity are cited as evidence of this advantage, although revenue rose only 7.80% last quarter. Limits noted include debt at 200.37% of equity, rules that also restrict Williams' own growth, and a price of 26.81 times expected next-year earnings. The dividend yields 2.95%.
- Marvell Jumps 6% as GF Securities Says Google Chip Delay Won’t Dent Its Position; Broadcom Rises 3%
Marvell shares rose 6% to $241.27 in afternoon trading after a reported delay in Google's next TPU chip, while Broadcom gained 3%. GF Securities analyst Jeff Pu said the delay does not change Marvell's medium- to long-term position in Google's chip supply chain. Marvell reported Q2 FY2027 revenue of $2.74 billion, up 36.5% YoY, with its Data Center segment at $2.17 billion, or 79% of revenue. Google can acquire up to 7% of Marvell shares under a warrant tied to revenue targets, and management expects its custom business to more than double in fiscal 2028. Q3 revenue guidance is $3.15 billion, plus or minus 5%, with non-GAAP gross margin of 57.5% to 58.5%, and the article notes Marvell still needs to convert its Google programs into reported revenue.
- Is ONEOK (OKE) Cheap at 14 Times Next Year’s Earnings?
ONEOK (NYSE:OKE) closed at $93.31 on October 16 and returned 11.4% over six months, versus 10.5% for the Insider Monkey Billionaire Index. The stock trades at 14.49 times next year's expected earnings and yields 4.59%, and revenue rose 52.80% last quarter as the company grew through acquisitions. The article argues that much of this growth was bought rather than built, with only 13.25% of revenue remaining as operating profit and debt at 143.07% of equity. Because a large part of the business involves buying and reselling liquids rather than earning transport fees, the article views the discount as having a reason behind it. It concludes that investors should watch margins rather than revenue.
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