According to Nate Silver's aggregate of national polls, Donald Trump's net approval has fallen to a new record low of -23, with 60.4% disapproving and 37.4% approving. Silver's forecast model gives Democrats a 69% chance to win the Senate and a 91% chance to win the House at the November 3 midterm elections, with a 9.1-point lead in the generic ballot. Opposition to the Iran war stands at 57.9% against 33.5% support, while Americans are paying an average of US$4.48 a gallon for regular petrol. The author argues that Republicans are likely to lose heavily if Iran-related disruption and high petrol prices persist until the midterms, but could do better and possibly keep the Senate if petrol prices fall back.
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- Trump approval hits record low , handing Democrats a clear midterm edge
A new Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll shows President Donald Trump's approval among U.S. adults has fallen to 33 percent, with 66 percent disapproving, the lowest of his first term. Among likely voters, approval stands at 38 percent. Democrats now hold a clear lead in the fight for control of the House and, for the first time in more than a decade, are seen as more trusted to handle the economy. Voters prefer a Democratic-led Congress as a check on Trump over a Republican one supporting his agenda by 58 percent to 39 percent, while 72 percent say the country is heading in the wrong direction. Inflation, gasoline prices and the Iran war are major threats to Republicans, whose campaign money advantage is now shifting to protect candidates in redder areas.
- Iran war , inflation drag Trump approval to record low weeks before midterms
- Trump approval hits record low as midterms near : poll
A Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll conducted Oct. 9–13 found that 33% of Americans approve of Trump's job performance and 66% disapprove, a record low two weeks before the Nov. 3 midterms. His approval is down four points from July and eight from a year ago, and only 28% approve of his handling of the economy, with roughly 3 in 4 disapproving of how he has managed inflation and the cost of living. For the first time in over 10 years, Americans trust Democrats more than Republicans on the economy, and Democrats hold an eight-point lead for controlling the House. Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority, so Democrats would need to flip at least two seats in states Trump won by double digits in 2024, while also holding Georgia and Michigan.
- Trump approval hits record low as midterms near : poll
A Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll conducted October 9-13 found President Donald Trump's approval rating at 33%, with 66% disapproving, a record low just two weeks before the November 3 midterm elections. His rating is down four points from July and eight points from a year ago, and among likely voters, 38% approve. His economic approval has fallen to 28%, and roughly 3 in 4 Americans disapprove of how he has handled inflation and cost of living. For the first time in over 10 years, Americans trust Democrats more than Republicans on the economy. Democrats hold an eight-point lead for controlling the House, while winning the Senate would require flipping at least two seats in states Trump won by double digits in 2024, while holding Georgia and Michigan.
- Trump approval hits record low as midterms near : poll
A Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll conducted Oct. 9-13 found Trump's approval at a record low of 33%, with 66% disapproving, two weeks before the Nov. 3 midterms. For the first time in over 10 years, Americans trust Democrats more than Republicans on the economy, and only 28% approve of Trump's handling of it. Roughly 3 in 4 Americans disapprove of his management of inflation and the cost of living. Democrats hold an eight-point advantage for controlling the House, while winning the Senate would require flipping at least two seats in states Trump won by double digits in 2024, given Republicans' 53-47 majority. A Democratic Senate would give them the power to block Trump's nominees and subpoena witnesses in potential investigations.
- Trump approval hits record low as midterms near : poll
A Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll conducted Oct. 9-13 found that 33% of Americans approve of Trump's job performance, 66% disapprove, and 52% strongly disapprove, down four points from July and eight from a year ago. Among likely voters, 38% approve, and only 28% approve of his handling of the economy, while roughly three in four Americans disapprove of how he has managed inflation and the cost of living. The poll gives Democrats an eight-point edge for controlling the House after the Nov. 3 midterms. Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority, so Democrats would need to flip at least two seats in states Trump won by double digits in 2024, which would let them block his nominees and subpoena witnesses in investigations.
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