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US tariff waiver on Russian crude a comforting relief , but trade uncertainties persist : CareEdge Chief Economist Rajani Sinha

CareEdge Chief Economist Rajani Sinha says the US waiver on Russian crude gives India comforting relief, but the reprieve may be temporary, so India should secure a comprehensive bilateral trade deal with Washington. She views the threatened tariffs of up to 100% as a negotiating technique, and notes that Russian crude's discount advantage has narrowed to about $117 per barrel versus Brent near $120. Russia supplies over 30% of India's crude imports, mainly to ensure steady energy availability. Sinha projects the current account deficit at 0.8% to 1.2% of GDP and average inflation around 5% for the fiscal year, though crude above $100 per barrel could raise inflation risks. She attributes rupee weakness mainly to global sentiment and capital flows, and backs the IDBI Bank stake sale as a step toward budget targets.

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Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.

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