The Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI), launched in May 2001 just as the tech bubble was going bust, has averaged roughly 9.4% a year since inception, turning a $10,000 investment into more than $102,000. The article notes that the past 25 years included the tech bubble bear market, the financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic, and expects the next 20 years to have similar periods of high volatility. If VTI averaged 9.4% a year through 2046, $10,000 would become about $60,300; at the S&P 500's long-term 10% annual return, the balance would be roughly $67,300. Vanguard forecasts returns of 4.8% to 6.8% over the next decade; at 5.8%, the midpoint, $10,000 would grow to around $30,900.
Summary written by Upside AI from the original article. Read the source for full details.
Read the original on Yahoo Finance ↗
Keywords
ETFS&P 500investment trustsVanguard
Open a keyword to see other news on the same topic.
Related tickers and likely impact
SPY
• NeutralSPDR S&P 500 ETF
Relevance: low
| Market | US stocks |
|---|---|
| Sector | ETF |
| Close on 10/28/2026 | 772.31 |
| Change that session | +0.34% |
Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.
Related news
- History Shows 1 Powerful Fact That Makes Me Bullish on VTI
The article argues that long-term investors can look past daily headlines, since the broader U.S. stock market has tended to grow over time, using the Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) as an example. The fund has been available since May 2001 and delivered average annual returns of 9.44% over 25 years and about 12.6% annualized over the past five years, including through the 2008 financial crisis and the dot-com bear market. VTI holds 3,519 stocks across small-, mid- and large-caps, though it has underperformed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 over the past 10 years. The illustrative math shows a one-time $1,000 investment in 2001 growing to about $9,537, while $300 monthly would have reached about $325,555 and $500 monthly $542,592 after 25 years. The author stresses that past returns do not guarantee future results.
- What If You’d Bought Vanguard’s Growth ETF at the Worst Possible Moment?
A $10,000 investment in VUG on Oct 31, 2007, which fell 51% at its low, is now worth $100,122, or about 13% a year, versus $71,189 in SPY. The Nov 19, 2021 peak fell 36% and took 795 days to recover; it is now worth $17,350 against $17,742 in SPY, the only tested entry point where VUG still trails the S&P 500. A 23% drop in early 2025 during the tariff sell-off recovered in 125 days, leaving the holding roughly even with SPY at $12,959 versus $12,944. The predecessor Vanguard Growth Index Fund Investor Shares, bought at the Mar 27, 2000 peak, took about 12.5 years to break even after a 56% decline. The article says VUG best suits investors with at least a decade ahead, since its top holdings NVIDIA, Apple and Microsoft make up 36% of the fund.
- VGT Returned 799.70% and VOO Returned 324.46% Over a Decade. Adding VUG Does Not Make It Diversified
The article argues that Vanguard's VOO, VUG and VGT overlap heavily because the same mega-cap tech companies sit near the top of each. Over ten years VGT returned 799.70%, VUG 429% and VOO 324.46%, but the gap reflects one factor, mega-cap tech, held at different concentration levels. VOO has 38.0% of net assets in information technology and VUG 65.9% in technology, while VGT tracks a technology-only index. In the past week VOO fell 1.4%, VUG 3% and VGT 5%, showing that the most concentrated fund dropped the most. The author advises checking each fund's top ten holdings and converting fund weights into portfolio weights to measure real exposure.
- Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon Now Make Up 30.8% of VOO and 49.2% of VUG. Here's a Better Low-Cost Vanguard ETF to Buy Now.
As of Sept. 30, Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft and Amazon made up 30.8% of VOO and 49.2% of VUG. The article argues the Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF (VTI), holding 3,519 stocks, offers less concentration, with those five at 27.2% and the top ten at 36%. Because the S&P 500 makes up roughly 80% of the U.S. stock market, VTI's performance has been close to VOO's, with year-to-date returns of 12.5% versus 12.9% and five-year total returns of 73.2% versus 83%. All three ETFs have a 0.03% expense ratio. The author considers VTI a better catch-all option for investors seeking U.S. market exposure with less reliance on mega-cap growth stocks tied to AI.
- The Vanguard ETF Warren Buffett Endorses That Young Investors Should Buy and Hold Forever
- Meet the Vanguard ETF That Has Outperformed the Market Nearly 64% of the Time -- and Will Likely Continue Doing So
The article says the Vanguard Morningstar Growth ETF (VUG) has outperformed the S&P 500 in 14 years since it began trading in January 2004. By comparison, SPIVA data show less than 11% of actively managed funds beat the S&P 500 over five years. VUG's technology weighting is 69.8%, with the Magnificent Seven making up over 56% of the fund. About 84% of its holdings are in the S&P 500, and nine of its top 10 holdings overlap, so the concentration offers an edge but also higher risk. The author attributes this edge to leading companies continuing to grow, and notes that investors already holding an S&P 500 ETF should watch this concentration risk.
Related markets
Latest news
- Investing.com’s stocks of the week
Alphabet plunged 12.6% on Thursday, its worst single-day performance, after third-quarter earnings fell short of expectations, and Citizens downgraded the stock to Market Perform. Intel fell 30.3% on Friday despite a third-quarter beat, as fourth-quarter revenue guidance of $15 billion to $16 billion came in below the $17.08 billion analysts expected; Bank of America downgraded it to Neutral. Amazon slipped 2.2% to $238.27 after missing on both revenue and profit, while ServiceNow and Fortinet fell 27% and 20.1% on Thursday. Coinbase dropped 13.4% on Friday to a more than two-year low, weighed by the Binance hack that saw $6.36 billion stolen, the largest crypto theft on record.
- Wall Street's Next Blockbuster Stock Split Has Arrived -- The Stock Has Gained 3,050% Since Its 2025 Debut and Still More Upside Ahead, According to Wall Street
Sandisk (SNDK) announced an 8-for-1 stock split alongside its fiscal 2027 first-quarter results, under which shareholders of record as of Nov. 9, 2026 will receive seven additional shares for each share held, with split-adjusted trading expected from Nov. 20. Revenue for the quarter reached $11 billion, up 378% year over year, and adjusted EPS came in at $49.51, ahead of analyst consensus. Management said customers are increasing supply commitments, and the company has shifted to long-term supply agreements with minimum prices, averaging four years or longer. The stock has gained 3,050% since its spin-off from Western Digital but has fallen more than 50% from its late-June peak; of 25 analysts who rated it in October, 84% rate it a buy or strong buy, with an average price target of about $2,143. Melius Research holds the highest target at $3,600.
- The Gold-Silver Ratio Just Hit 80. Here's What History Says Happens Next.
The gold-silver ratio, the number of silver ounces needed to buy one ounce of gold, has reached 80 with gold at $3,919 and silver at $49 per ounce. The 80-50 rule of thumb calls 50–80 neutral, but its results have been mixed: the ratio fell to 46 on Jan. 29, 2026, its lowest since 2011, and silver bought at $49 last October would have more than doubled, beating gold's roughly 40% gain, though investors who later switched back to gold lost ground. The article notes that silver's dual role as a precious and industrial metal, with about 74% of output a byproduct of other mining, leaves it exposed to rising rates, the Iran war and inflation. It cites a silver deficit forecast to widen from 40.3 million ounces in 2025 to 46.3 million ounces in 2026. Even with silver cheaper on this measure, the author says the ratio does not necessarily signal the best time to invest.
- Nvidia’s GPU Rents Surge as Anthropic’s Revenue Has “Gone Vertical,” Says Gavin Baker
Anthropic's S-1, filed Monday, shows $2.08 of revenue per dollar of compute, up from $0.40 a year earlier, according to an analysis Gavin Baker endorsed. Baker argues that cheaper tokens raise total compute spending, which supports demand and pricing for Nvidia's GPUs; Social Capital puts H100 rental prices up 45% since December. Anthropic posted GAAP operating income of $974 million in the second quarter, and Nvidia has invested $10 billion in the lab. Analysts expect Nvidia's revenue to grow from $215.9 billion in fiscal 2026 to $692 billion in fiscal 2028, though gross margin is expected to dip to 71% to 72% in the January 2027 quarter as memory costs rise. The stock trades at 18x forward earnings versus a three-year average of 30x, ahead of its Nov. 17 report.
- Alphabet's October wipeout hits $766 billion, its worst month ever
Alphabet (GOOGL) lost $477 billion in market value for the week through Friday's low, its worst week ever, after shares plunged $475 billion in one session on Thursday following third-quarter results. For October, the stock had shed about $766 billion at its low, second only to SpaceX's roughly $822 billion loss in July, and was down nearly 19% for the month, its steepest monthly drop since the 2004 IPO. Other megacaps also fell sharply, with Intel sliding as much as 30% after a weak outlook and Amazon losing about $70 billion for the week, while Eli Lilly, Tesla and SK Hynix added about $370 billion combined. UBS's chief investment office argued that retreating from markets does not protect portfolios and that investors should build resilient portfolios with exposure beyond tech. Alphabet closing at or below $280.50 on Friday would lock in its worst month since the IPO in percentage terms.
- Broadcom Stock Outlook Hinges On AI Chip Growth And Anthropic Partnership
Broadcom reported sharp growth in AI semiconductor revenue and expanded custom accelerator work with Anthropic and Meta, while its TrueSource Spring Enterprise release shipped 89 security fixes. The article says the outlook hinges on AI chip growth offsetting margin pressure, with Q4 2026 gross margin guided to 73% from 77.1% in Q2 2026 and about US$29b of potential exposure from AI XPV residual value guarantees. Analyst models assume revenue growth of about 52.7% a year and earnings rising from US$38.3b today to a consensus US$155.8b by 2029, implying a P/E of 23.0x versus 44.3x now. The consensus price target of US$531.85 sits above the current US$355.10 share price, though individual targets range from US$215.88 to US$715.00.
Get the briefing on Telegram or Zalo
Join the Upside Telegram channel or Zalo group for the Vietnam stocks and gold briefing at 8:00 and 19:00 (Vietnam time) on trading days, plus a weekly wrap on Saturday morning.