Bitcoin extended daily losses to 3% and traded below $82,000 as US stocks fell after President Donald Trump said the US was “not negotiating” with Iran and reiterated the possibility of new military action. BTC/USD hit $81,256 on Bitstamp, down 2.9%, while at the open the S&P 500 fell 1.3% and the Nasdaq Composite lost 2.3%. Treasuries benefited from the risk-off mood, with the US 10-year yield approaching 5% and slipping to its lowest level since Sept. 23. Bitfinex Alpha analysts expect BTC/USD to trade between $81,300 and $84,400 until the Federal Reserve's Oct. 28 meeting, with a close below $81,300 raising the risk of a move toward the Oct. 15 low of $79,821. Kalshi traders have cut the odds of new all-time highs by mid-January 2027 to just 3%.
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Related tickers and likely impact
BTC/USDT
▼ Likely negativeBitcoin
Relevance: medium
| Market | Crypto |
|---|---|
| Exchange | Binance |
| Sector | Layer 1 |
| Market cap | $1.6T |
| Close on 10/21/2026 | 84,093.42 |
| Change that session | +1.28% |
QQQ
▼ Likely negativeInvesco QQQ Trust
Relevance: medium
| Market | US stocks |
|---|---|
| Sector | ETF |
| Close on 10/21/2026 | 725.21 |
| Change that session | +1.06% |
SPY
▼ Likely negativeSPDR S&P 500 ETF
Relevance: medium
| Market | US stocks |
|---|---|
| Sector | ETF |
| Close on 10/21/2026 | 773.13 |
| Change that session | +0.53% |
ETH/USDT
▼ Likely negativeEthereum
Relevance: medium
| Market | Crypto |
|---|---|
| Exchange | Binance |
| Sector | Layer 1 |
| Market cap | $294.2B |
| Close on 10/21/2026 | 2,473.76 |
| Change that session | +1.00% |
XAU/USD
▲ Likely positiveRelevance: medium
| Market | Gold |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/21/2026 | 4,141.17 |
| Change that session | +0.39% |
DXY
▲ Likely positiveRelevance: low
| Market | Currencies |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/21/2026 | 101.70 |
| Change that session | 0.00% |
Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.
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