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Elon Musk's SpaceX clearly has a lot riding on the success of Anthropic, probably much to the surprise of investors

Anthropic's prospectus shows its relationship with SpaceX (SPCX) is larger than the original agreement described in SpaceX's S-1, with maximum compute spending of $120.5 billion through 2029. Aggregate monthly fees of about $3.1 billion, expected in December once all capacity is delivered, are almost 2.5 times the $1.25 billion a month for roughly 325,000 Nvidia GPUs disclosed earlier. EvercoreISI analyst Kutgun Maral estimates that at full run rate, Anthropic could account for 25% to 28% of SpaceX's first-quarter 2027 revenue guidance, and says this is not a near-term revenue risk but raises questions about dependence on a single customer. Anthropic's first-half 2026 revenue rose to $16.3 billion from $1.1 billion, while it posted an $80.7 billion net loss. It could list before the end of November, with a reported valuation of $1.5 to $2 trillion.

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